3. The Formula







1. What is it about?

2. The Formula's
Prediction Rate

- The Formula in
04, 03, 02, 01, 00,
99, 98, 97, 96

3. The Formula

Actually, it’s very simple: there are 3 kinds of awards:

    1. Guild Awards
    (PGA, DGA, SAG, WGA)

    If you receive a Guild nomination, you’ll get 4 points.

    2. Important Critics Awards
     (NBR, LAFCA, NYFCC, Golden Globes, Broadcast Film Critics Association)

    If you win an award from them, you’ll get 3 points.
    If you’re the first runner-up, or a Golden Globe nominee, you’ll get 2 points.
    If you're a producer, director or a screenwriter from the winning foreign film, you'll get 0.8 points

    3. Other Awards
     (EFA, NSFC, Satellites, OFCS, SFCA, People's Choice Awards, BAFTA, the Critics Associations from San Diego, Florida, Dallas, and Chicago)

    If you win an award from them, you’ll get 1.5 points.
    The first runner-ups from the NSFC, the Golden Satellite nominees, the Online nominees, the Chicago nominees and the BAFTA nominees get 1 point.
    If you're a producer, director or a screenwriter from the winning foreign film, you'll get 0.8 points


The bad news is that it’s a bit more complicated than that. There are lots of exceptions and special occasions. For a complete insight on how the Formula works, please follow these links:

  • Calendar: Where you can read all the rules on how to get points award per award.

  • General Rules: Here you can read the rules that are not related to an award.

  • The Meryl Streep Rule: A closer look at one of the General Rules

  • The Formula’s Most Important Rule: Here I tell you how I’ll predict the nominees for best picture and best director.

  • Related to the Formula’s Most Important Rule are The Too Early Front Runner and the Over-Estimated Comedy Rule.


    Voila! Now you know all the important stuff about the Formula. But there is more. The points won by winning awards and the other general rules do not lead to the final scores (although they are the most important). Read how the final scores are calculated:

  • Best Picture Category
  • Best Director Category
  • The Acting Categories
  • The Writing Category

    I hope it's more or less understandable.

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