2. The Formula's Prediction Rate








1. What is it about?

2. The Formula's
Prediction Rate

- The Formula in
04, 03, 02, 01, 00,
99, 98, 97, 96

3. The Formula

See how the formula worked in the past
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996

Averages Number
Correct		 Totals % of Total
Correct
Picture 50 55 90.9%
Director
 49 55 89.1%
Actor 49 55 89.1%
Actress 52 55 94.5%
Supp. Categories 94 110 85.4%
Writing 94 110 85.5%
Overall 388 440 88.18%
Best Year: 1998 - 92.5%
 Worst Year: 2003 - 82.5%

Averages 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Picture
 100% 100% 60% 100% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 80% 80%
Director 100% 80% 100% 100% 100% 80% 80% 80% 80% 100% 80%
Actor 100% 100% 100% 80% 80% 80% 100% 100% 80% 80% 80%
Actress 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 60% 100% 80% 100%
Supp. Categories 80% 80% 90% 80% 90% 90% 80% 80% 80% 100% 90%
Writing 80% 70% 100% 90% 90% 80% 90% 80% 90% 90% 80%

Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Correct 90% 85% 92.5% 90% 90% 87.5% 90% 82.5% 87.5% 90% 85%


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