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Index Importance of the Event in order to predict the Oscar Nominees
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November 2008 |
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Nov 30 | Satellite Award Nominations
![]() Every nomination in the Drama categories : 1 point. The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.375 points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it's 1 point again)
A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.375 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it's 1 point).
The nominees for Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director (then it's 1 point). |
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December 2008 |
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Dec 4 | National Board of Review Awards
![]() ![]() ![]() Winners : 3 points. Every film in the NBR Top 5 : 2 points. The other films in the NBR Top 10 (6-10) receive 2 points only if they win an important award. (Important awards are: director, actor, actress and screenplay) The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. (With the producer, I mean the points for that film in the category 'Best Picture') The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 6 | European Film Awards
![]() Winners: 1.5 points The Director of the Best European Film receives 1.5 points extra. The People's Choice Awards and the screenplay award are not taken in consideration |
Dec 9 | L.A. Film Critics Association Awards
![]() ![]() Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 10 | New York Film Critics Circle Awards
![]() ![]() Winners : 3 points, first runners-up : 2 points. The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 11 | Golden Globes Nominations
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Every nomination in the Drama categories : 2 points. The nominees for Best Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.75 points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it's 2 points again)
A nomination in the other Comedy categories is worth only 0.75 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it's 2 points).
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Dec 14 | Satellite Awards Ceremony
![]() Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous GS nomination points.
The winners of the leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical receive only 0.8 points, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it's 1.5 points).
The winner of the Best Animated (or Mixed Media) Picture receive no points, unless the film is nominated for director or has a WGA nomination (then it's 1.5 points).
The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra.
The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points.
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Dec 15 | Chicago Film Critics Association Award
![]() Each nomination : 1 point. Winners of the best promising actor and/or actress receive 1 point extra, if they are also nominated in the best acting categories (actor/actress, leading/supporting) |
Dec 15 | Southeastern Film Critics Association
![]() Winners : 1.5 points. Every film in the SFCA Top 5 : 1 point. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 15 | San Diego Film Critics Society Awards
![]() Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 17 | Dallas-Fort Worth Film Critics Association
![]() Winners : 1.5 points. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Dec 18 | Screen Actors Guild - Award Nominations Announced
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Each nominated actor : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) In the leading categories: the score of every leading actor/actress who isn't nominated for the SAG (individual awards only) nor the Golden Globes, and never received an Oscar nomination before gets divided by 3.3. In the supporting categories: 1. Every supporting actor/actress who was nominated for the Golden Globes and the SAG-Ensemble Award, but was never before nominated for an Oscar, receives 2 points extra 2. the score of every supporting actor/actress who wasn't nominated for the Golden Globes nor the SAG (via an individual or an ensemble award), gets divided by 3.3, unless they profit by The Meryl Streep Rule. The producers of the Best Ensemble nominees receive 3 points, the directors 1 point. Leading actors/actresses of the Best Ensemble nominees, who were nominated for an Oscar in the past but never won (for acting), receive 2 points extra. This does not apply for supporting roles. Also take a look at The Formula's Most Important Rule |
Dec 18 | Florida Film Critics Circle Awards.
![]() Winners : 1.5 points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
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January 2009 |
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Jan 2 | Entertainment Weekly's Annual Oscar Nominee Predictions
![]() The 'For Your Considerations' are worth 1 point. |
Jan 3 | National Society of Film Critics Awards
![]() Winners : 1.5 points, first runners-up : 1 point. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Jan 5 | Online Film Critics Society Awards Nominations
![]() Nominees : 1 point. |
Jan 5 | Producers Guild of America - Award Nominations
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Each nominated producer : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) The directors of the nominated films receive 1 point. Also take a look at The Formula's Most Important Rule |
Jan 6 | American Society of Cinematographers Award Nominations
![]() If there is a tie within the formula then the movie with the most guild award nominations takes precedence. (If you want to predict the Oscar nominees for Best Cinematography, than this is a very important event!) |
Jan 7 | Writers Guild of America - Award Nominations
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Each nominated screenwriter : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) If a film is nominated for both the WGA and the PGA, then the producers receive 1 point, and the directors 2 points. If a film has no other Guild Nomination, the screenwriter receives 1 point extra (other Guilds are: PGA, DGA, SAG, ASC, ACE, CAS, ADG, CDG) Every producer and director whose film isn't nominated for the WGA, looses 0.8 points. Also take a look at The Formula's Most Important Rule |
Jan 7 | People's Choice Awards
![]() Favorite Motion Picture Winner: 1.5 points Other awards are not taken in consideration. |
Jan 8 | Directors Guild of America - Award Nominations
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Each nominated director : 4 points (8 points for foreign language films) The screenwriters of the nominated films receive 4 points. If a film is nominated for both the DGA and the PGA, then the producers receive 2 points. If a film is nominated for the DGA, but not for the PGA, then the producers receive 4 points. If a film is nominated for the PGA, but not for the DGA, then the screenwriters receive 2 points. If a filmis nominated for both the WGA and the DGA, then the producers receive 2 points, and the directors 1 point. Also take a look at The Formula's Most Important Rule |
Jan 8 | Broadcast Film Critics Association : Award Ceremony
![]() ![]() ![]() Winners : 3 points, first Runners-up: 2 points. Every Film in the BFCA Top 10 who wins an important award receives 2 points. (Important awards are: director, actor, actress and screenplay) The screenwriter of the Best Picture Winner gets 2 points extra.
The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. |
Jan 8 | Cinema Audio Award Nominations
![]() If there is a tie within the formula then the movie with the most guild award nominations takes precedence. |
Jan 9 | Art Directors Guild Award Nominations
![]() If there is a tie within the formula then the movie with the most guild award nominations takes precedence. |
Jan 11 | Golden Globes Ceremony
![]() ![]() Winners : 3 points instead of their previous GG nomination points. The winners of the leading actor and actress in a Comedy Or Musical receive only 1 point, unless the comedy is nominated for director (then it's 3 points). The screenwriter of the Best Picture Drama Winner receives 2 points extra.
The producer of the film that won best director receives 1.5 points extra. The directors of the films that won best drama actor, drama actress and screenplay receive 1 point extra The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Film receive 0.8 points. |
Jan 12 | American Cinema Editors - Eddie Nominations
![]() ![]() The producers and directors of the nominated films in the drama category get 2 points. The screenwriters of the nominated foreign language films receive 2 points extra. |
Jan 14 | Costume Designers Guild Nominations
![]() If there is a tie within the formula then the movie with the most guild award nominations takes precedence. |
Jan 15 | BAFTA Award Nominations (U.K.)
![]() Each nomination : 1 point. Foreign language films in regular categories get 2 points instead of 1. |
Jan 15 | Online Film Critics Society Awards
![]() Winners : 1.5 points instead of their previous OFCS nomination points. The producer and director of the best screenplay winner(s) receive 0.8 points extra. The producer, director and screenwriter of the winning Foreign Language Film receive 0.8 points. |
Jan 17 | The End of Sijmen's Oscar Experiment |
Jan 22 | ACADEMY AWARD NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCEMENT |
Jan 23 | Evaluation of Sijmen's Oscar Experiment |
Jan 24 | Producers Guild Awards |
Jan 25 | Screen Actors Guild Awards |
Jan 31 | Directors Guild Awards |
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February 2009 |
Feb 7 | Writers Guild Awards |
Feb 8 | BAFTA Awards (U.K.) |
Feb 14 | Art Directors Guild Awards |
Feb 14 | Cinema Audio Awards |
Feb 15 | American Cinema Editors - Eddie Awards |
Feb 15 | American Society of Cinematographers Awards |
Feb 17 | Costume Designers Guild Awards |
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Feb 22 | ACADEMY AWARDS CEREMONY |
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General Rules |
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