1. What is it about? 2. The Formula's Prediction Rate - The Formula in 04, 03, 02, 01, 00, 99, 98, 97, 96 3. The Formula

I found myself a secret weapon to predict the Oscar nominees! YES! A mathematical and statistical Formula, based on the relation between the Pre-Oscar Awards and the Oscarnominees in the last 7 years. Four years ago I used that secret weapon for the first time, predicting 82.5% of the nominees. The other years the Formula wasn't as succesfull, scoring less than 80%. But after every year, I keep finetuning the Formula, advancing it, and I don't give up! Will I be more succesfull this year? I hope so, but we’ll never know until the nominations are announced. After all, one can’t quantify something as inherently subjective as Oscar nominations. But I do it anyway, just for the fun of it (and great fun it is). Research Question How good will The Formula predict the Oscar Nominees this year? Hypothesis The Formula will predict 85% or more of the nominees in the 8 major categories (picture, director, actor, actress, supporting actor, supporting actress, adapted and original screenplay). Evaluation If The Formula predicts less than 75% of the Oscar Nominees (8 major categories) than the Experiment will be a Disaster! Less than 80% - A FAILURE 80.0% - DISAPPOINTING 82.5% - SATISFYING 85.0% - GOOD 87.5% - A SUCCES 90.0% - A TREMENDOUS SUCCES More than 90% - I WILL MAKE THE HEADLINES!!! Final Note Although the formula is real and I promise not to 'cheat', I do have the following advise: Do Not Take This Too Seriously!