2. Britain’s Carbon Status. |
||
This section highlights
what is known about the country’s Carbon status. 2.1: The Supply Side of the Uk’s Carbon Spiral.2.1.1: Uk Carbon Emissions.
In Millions of Tonnes of Carbon (mtC).
1970-1990.
In june 1993 it was argued
that, "Britain’s CO2 emissions have been in continual decline for the past
20 years. They peaked in 1973, before the 1974 oil crisis, at the equivalent
of 178 mt of Carbon. Most industrial nations are still hugely wasteful in their
use of energy and have great potential both to conserve energy and generate
it in ways that are less damaging to the environment." 1990.
In 1992 the doe estimated
that, "UK CO2 emissions in 1990 totalled 160 million tonnes of carbon (mtC)."
This estimate has since been revised upwards quite considerably. 2000.
"The UK’s greenhouse
gas emissions fell to about 9% below 1990 levels in 1998, and are projected
to reach about 13.5% below by the end of 2000. This reflects the positive action
that has been taken by Government in partnership with other key players, particularly
in the business sector." In mtCO2.
"The UK releases about
540 million tonnes of CO2 (mtCO2) every year." Concluding Remark.
It is imperative to appreciate
that these figures are fraudulent. They derive solely from data about fossil
fuels, "CO2 emission estimates are derived from energy consumption data." In
other words, they do not include estimates of the amount of pollution released
by cement manufacture, waste incineration, or the vast quantities of manure
produced by the bipeds and quadrupeds - see section 2.2.2.1. Secondly, there
are no estimates for non-Carbon greenhouse emissions. 2.1.2: The Main Sources of Carbon Emissions.
2.1.2.1: Fossil Fuels.
"96% of the UK's man-made
carbon dioxide emissions come from the burning of fossil fuels for energy use.
(Most of the remaining emissions come from cement manufacture and waste incineration)."
2.1.2.2: Transport.
Overall Contribution.
"In 1990 transport was responsible
for using 33% of all energy consumed in Great Britain of which 80% was attributed
to road and 15% to air transport (DOT 1991)."; "In the UK we are responsible
for about 540 million tonnes of CO2 emissions every year. (i.e. approximately
146 mtC - ed). In 1987, road transport was responsible for 100 million tonnes
of this total, (27 mtC), with air and rail transport adding another 20 million
tonnes." Company Transport Fleets.
"Company transport fleets
(cars, commercial and goods vehicles) contributed about 10% of CO2 emissions
in industry and commerce." Public Transport.
The figures for public transport
covers .. "bus and rail transport, shipping within 12km of the coast and aircraft
movements below 1 km)." If it seems that emissions have been increasing from
public transport, even though there has been a decline in the use of public
transport, this might be because the category also includes private air travel. Private Cars.
"Private car travel (excluding
use for business mileage) contributes a further 13% of total UK CO2 emissions.
CO2 emissions from private car travel are expected to rise by some 19% between
1990 and 2000 on a central projection." 2.1.2.3: Cement Manufacture and Waste Incineration.
See above. 2.1.2.4: Electricity Power Stations.
"Power stations, the largest
single producer of carbon dioxide, account for one third of Britain's 159 million
tonne output."; "A modestly-sized power station, generating around 500 megawatts,
produces about 500 tonnes of carbon, in the form of carbon dioxide, each hour,
or 120 mtonnes in its 30 year life-time."; "Clearly, we urgently need alternatives
to burning fossil fuels to generate our electricity, which in Britain produces
one-quarter of our carbon dioxide emissions." 2.1.2.5: Pharming.
"In 1990, greenhouse
gas emissions from agriculture were 24.8mtC, or around 12% of the u.k’s total
greenhouse gas emissions, including emissions estimated to be 8.7mtC from land
use change."; "Each year in the UK, farm animals produce about 200 million
tonnes of effluent." It is difficult comparing the 27mtC released by the transport
sector with the 200mt of effluent 2.1.2.6: Manufacturing.
Multinational Corporations. Small Companies.
"Small companies employing
less than 500 people account for 45% of the total manufacturing energy bill." 2.1.2.7: Commerce.
"In the commercial
sector the increasing trend for modern electrically powered office equipment
(photocopiers, facsimile machines, computers and word processors) and for air
conditioned and artificially lit offices has led to a rise in emissions." 2.1.2.8: Forestry.
"Forestry supplies the wood
processing industry, which employs 22,000 people with a turnover of about £1.5
billion." 2.1.2.9: The Public Sector.
Figures for 1990.
"In 1990 the public
sector was responsible for 9.6 MtC, or about 6% of all UK CO2 emissions." 2.1.2.10: Comparisons.
Industry and Commerce. Figures
for 1990.
"Energy use by industry
and commerce accounted for almost 50% of all UK CO2 emissions in 1990." Comparing Manufacturing
and Commerce.
"Historically CO2 emissions
from light industry have declined whilst those from commerce have increased.";
"In industry, process energy and drive power account for over three quarters
of emissions. In commerce the chief source is energy used for space and water
heating and air conditioning." Summary of Past Trends and
Projections by sector: mtC
1970 1980 1990
2000 2005 2020 TRANSPORT 23 29 38 45 49 62 Individuals 11 15 21 25 28 36 Industry/Commerce 6 8 11 13 14 19 Public Transport 6 5 6 7 7 8 TOTALS 182 165 160 170 183 221 2.2: The Demand Side of the Carbon Spiral.2.2.1: Carbon Stores and Current Rates of Carbon Absorption (Photosynthesis)
in the Uk.
The removal of Carbon from
the atmosphere through Photosynthesis is regarded here as the demand side of
the Earth’s Carbon spiral or the importation of Carbon. 2.2.1.1: Aquatic Photosynthesis.
Area.
The area of water in the
united kingdom is approximately 3,230 square km. 2.2.1.2: Terrestrial Carbon Stores and Rates of Photosynthesis.
Area.
The land area of the united
kingdom is approximately 241,590 square km. Crops.
Forests.
It has been estimated that
virtually no ancient Forests left in britain, "Native forests, which once
covered 80% of Britain, have dwindled to about 1.5%. Virtually no primary forest
remains ..." Only 10% of the uk is covered in Forests, "Britain is
one of the most deforested countries in the world in terms of natural forests."
Most of the country’s so-called Forest cover is concentrated in particular areas
so that in england ‘Forest’ cover is only 7%, "Government figures show that
England has over 960,000 hectares of woodlands and forests, equivalent to about
7% of the land surface. This compares with 10% for Great Britain and an average
of 25% for the European Community as a whole." House of Commons’ Environment
Committee- 1993.
The environment committee
states, "Government figures show that England has over 960,000 hectares of woodlands
and forests, equivalent to about 7% of the land surface. This compares with
10% for Great Britain and an average of 25% for the European Community as a
whole." The paltry scale of britain’s Forests is manifest in the following quote,
"The UK consumes the equivalent of 50 million cubic metres of wood products
each year, nearly 90% of which is imported." It is reported that the
environment committee believes the country’s Forests absorb only a minuscule
quantity of Carbon each year, "In the same year, an estimated 2.9mtC were
removed from the atmosphere and stored in forests, vegetation and soils – equivalent
to 1.4% of total emissions. Finally, in terms of carbon sinks, the detr report
that the total uptake by sinks from u.k. agriculture and forestry is projected
to increase from about 1.7% of u.k. carbon dioxide emissions to 2% in 2010,
although it says "not all of this could be counted towards meeting the
u.k’s commitment under the kyoto protocol". Nevertheless, if the present
rate of increase in tree cover continues, afforestation since 1990 could save
0.6 mtC in 2010." However, over time, the amount of Carbon currently being
stored in u.k Forests is much more substantial. The Forestry Commission
- 1993.
"It is estimated that
the living, growing trees in British forests currently store 110 million tonnes
of carbon. This estimate varies between 90 and 130 million tonnes, depending
on how the forest area is defined. In this case the total forest area is taken
to be 2.3 million hectares .." The Department of the Environment,
Transport and the Regions - 2000.
"The largest carbon
pools in the UK are soils and forest litter, which together store about 10 billion
tonnes of carbon. About five billion tonnes of this total are stored in peat
lands which are found mainly in Scotland and which cover 10% of the UK’s total
land area. The biomass in woodlands contain some 90 million tonnes of carbon,
30 million tonnes of which are stored in conifers and some 60 million tonnes
in broad leaves and mixed woodland." Conclusions.
The amount of Carbon absorbed
each year is paltry but the amount of Carbon stored in u.k. Forests is much
more substantial. However, the quantity of Carbon stored in the u.k’s Forests
is far smaller than the quantity of Carbon that the u.k. releases into the atmosphere
each year. Ooman-Free Forests.
The best means for storing
Carbon is undisturbed i.e. ooman free, Forests. Unfortunately there are none
in britain. Tree Plantations.
"Even where forests are
harvested on a renewable basis, there is carbon loss of anywhere from 10-25%
in temperate and boreal forests. The same reduced carbon storage is found in
"recovered" forests that regrow on abandoned agricultural land." The main argument
in favour of Forests and Wilderness areas remaining undisturbed is that they
store more Carbon than Forests used by oomans. Soils.
"Note that croplands and
pastures store only very little carbon in their vegetation, on the order of
3-7% of the soil-plus-vegetation total. In this respect, they are not much different
from natural grasslands and woodlands. Note further that if croplands and pastures
are degraded through mismanagement, they can release once again as much carbon
from the soil as the original forest clearing that created them released from
vegetation." Microbes.
No info. 2.2.1.3: Concluding Remarks.
The quantity of Photosynthesis currently
being carried out by Photosynthesizers in britain is minimal. The quantity
of Photosynthesis currently being stored in britain at present is also
tiny. 2.2.2: The Potential Scale of Photosynthesis in the Uk.
2.2.2.1: Predicted Scale of Photosynthesis.
The Forestry Commission.
Government plans for Forestry
in the uk are derisory, "Models for biomass accumulation and carbon storage
by forests have been used to estimate the quantity of carbon locked up in British
forests now and in the future. Figure 20 shows two alternative predictions of
carbon storage by British forests over the next fifty years. It is estimated
that the living, growing trees in British forests currently store 110 million
tonnes of carbon. This estimate varies between 90 and 130 million tonnes, depending
on how the forest area is defined. In this case the total forest area is taken
to be 2.3 million hectares. If the forest area is maintained but not expanded,
carbon storage is predicted to rise slightly to 140 million tonnes by the year
2020 before levelling out around 130 million tonnes. The dashed lines shows
predicted carbon storage if the forest area is expanded by a further 0.75 million
hectares over the next 50 years. The total quantity of carbon stored rises steadily,
reaching 160 million tonnes by the year 2040." 2.2.2.2: The Rate of Carbon Accumulation in the Uk.
Slesser, Malcolm.
"If we attributed to the
English climate a growing potential similar to the world average (actually it
is below that) then that area could sequester bio-mass through solar energy
at the rate of 2 x 109 GJ/yr." Pearce, Fred.
"It takes one hectare of
forest land to absorb five tonnes of carbon a year." Nerc.
.."evidence from NERC suggests
that one million hectares of new forest in the UK would remove 2-5% of the total
current annual UK emissions of carbon dioxide but the long term relevance of
this will depend on where the forests are, how they are managed, and how the
timber is eventually used." 2.2.3: Destruction of Photosynthesis in the Uk.
2.2.3.1: Deforestation
2.2.3.1.1: Historical Scale of Deforestation.
"Britain is one of
the most deforested countries in the world in terms of natural forests. Native
forests, which once covered 80% of Britain, have dwindled to about 1.5%. Virtually
no primary forest remains ..." 2.2.3.1.2: Current
Scale of Deforestation.
Forestry Commission.
"Downing
Street has backtracked on a pledge by John Major to keep the Forestry Commission
in the public sector, saying that the Prime Minister's comment was drafted
incorrectly in the heat of the election campaign. Mr Major assured leaders
of the commission's 6,600 staff in a letter six days before the general
election that the government had no intention of privatizing the Forestry
commission which has assets of £2.2 billion. The commission has sold 405,000
acres since 1981 raising £165 million." 2.2.3.2: Total Area of Land Suffocation in the Uk.
2.2.3.2.1: Current Scale of Suffocation.
Land Lost between 1945-1990.
"The Council for the Protection
of Rural England's new report, England's Lost Land, shows that 705,000 hectares
- that's Greater London, Berkshire, Hertfordshire and Oxfordshire combined -
has been turned to housing, industrial development and roads since the war.
An area the size of Exeter, Norwich and Oxford is lost every year. Continue
at this rate and England will be 20 per cent covered in concrete by 2050. Successive
governments, moreover, have politically benefited by understating the degree
of urbanization that has occurred: 180,000 urbanized hectares (the size of Greater
London) has mysteriously disappeared from the statistics." Land Lost between 1984-1990
"The survey reveals
that in the six years from 1984 to 1990 the built up area of Britain grew by
around 130 square kilometres a year from 16,100 to 16,900 sqr kilometres. This
is an increase equivalent to 16 cities the size of exeter." The scale of urbanization
in the u.k. is roughly indicated by the increase in population, "The uk
population is a record 59,008,602 it was revealed. It has soared 1.2 million
in six years, with the number of people aged over 85 also the highest ever at
1,088,200. There are 10,985,500 people collecting old age pensions in britain." Area of Land Suffocated
by Roads.
Cpre argue that, "The government
estimates that roads occupy 690 square miles of England almost 1/5 of our land
area. We believe this is likely to be a gross underestimate and at best indicates
only the road carriageway."; "Across the UK as a whole we estimate that 2,848
km2 is devoted to roads alone - an area larger than the whole of Leicestershire.
And this is not the full picture - a fifth as much land again is taken for parking
the vehicles that use the roads. Our research shows that in the UK the area
devoted to parking is over 590km2 - a portion of land twice the size of Birmingham.
Taking the total area dedicated to roads and parking, each car and lorry in
the UK is responsible for over 160m2 of concrete and tarmac. This figure is
based on conservative assumptions, and excludes land given over to activities
such as building cars or quarrying for the material to build the roads." Land Suffocated by Car Parks.
"CPRE said the UK’s
car parks cover a area of land twice the size of Birmingham. And it said an
area larger than Leicestershire is taken up by roads." It estimated that
car parks suffocated about 570 km2 - see above. 2.2.3.2.2: Potential Area of Suffocation.
Housing.
The labour government wants
to construct 43,000 new homes a year, plus associated roads, industries, and
leisure facilities, over the next fifteen years, "John Prescott will overrule
planners in the South-East this week by ordering 38,000 new houses to be built
each year, including 15,200 on green belt land. He will say that he is prepared
to compromise on his original plan to build only 900,000 new homes over 15 years,
at a rate of 43,000 a year, to reduce the outcry of local authorities before
an election." "John prescott sparked anger yesterday by giving the
go-ahead for a third of a million new homes in the south-east. They will go
up over 5 years at an annual rate of 43,000 houses outside london, and 23,000
in the capital." The government is also going to make it easier for pharmers
to build new homes on prime agricultural land, "The change (to be introduced
by the government’s white paper) will almost certainly make it easier for farmers
to get planning permission to build on so called "best and most versatile" land,
or sell it to developers. It ends the central agricultural policy that the primary
role of the countryside is to feed the nation. Environmental groups and Opposition
politicians will fiercely resist the plan. Damien Green, the Tories' environmental
spokesman, said it was "an act of environmental vandalism", adding: "It would
be an open invitation to concrete over some of our most beautiful and valuable
countryside." Prime farm land, which represents about a third of all agricultural
fields in England, has until now been specially protected as a resource for
future generations. Although the concept of such land will be retained, the
Government wants to remove its unique status. At the moment, the Ministry of
Agriculture Fisheries and Food can order a public inquiry into planning applications
to build on prime farm land, which is seen as an effective right of veto." What is interesting about
this decimation of the country’s life sustaining processes is that as far as
prescott is concerned this will not so anything to boost climate change, "Britain
will cut its greenhouse gases by nearly double world targets, john prescott
revealed yesterday. The deputy prime minister pledged to slash harmful emissions
by 21.5% even though the international climate change deal at kyoto agreed 12.5%
cuts. Mr prescott said, "We promised to lead the fight against climate
change and we are delivering this promise."" How is it possible to
build so many homes with all the roads, factories, and developments, which will
follow in their wake without causing massive damage to the Earth’s life support
system in this country and thus destabilizing the climate? What we have here
is a typical example of green propaganda which believe it is possible to save
the planet by reducing Carbon emissions whilst actually destabilizing the climate
even more by cementing over the Earth’s life support system. This is the great
green con trick which is supported not merely by the green movement but by scientists
and politicians. Pharming.
"Downing Street has
also vetoed the possibility, again suggested by the unit's major report on the
countryside last year, of placing "environmental conditions" on more than £1
billion worth of arable farm subsidies under the Common Agricultural Policy." 2.2.3.2.3: Predicted Area of Suffocation.
Guardian.
"By the middle of next century,
one-fifth of England would be urbanized against the present 15%." The Council for the Protection
of Rural England.
"Continue at this rate and
England will be 20 per cent covered in concrete by 2050." 2.2.3.3: Destruction of Soils. 2.2.3.4: Destruction of Aquatic Photosynthesis.
"The government is flouting
the advice of its own statutory conservation bodies by allowing more than 50
sensitive areas of inshore coastal waters to be explored for oil and gas." 2.3: The Current Difference between the Supply, and Demand, Sides of the Carbon Spiral in the Uk: Britain’s Current Carbon Status.2.3.1: The Lack of Information about the Uk’s Current Carbon Status.
The difference between britain’s
Carbon emissions (the supply side of the Carbon spiral or Carbon exports) and
its absorption of Carbon through Photosynthesis (the demand side of the Carbon
spiral or carbon imports) gives the country’s current Carbon status. The most
blatant feature of the above analysis is the sheer paucity of information about
the country’s Carbon status. This lack of research reveals all too clearly that
the british government does not care about its own environment let alone the
Earth’s and that, fundamentally, it doesn’t know what it is talking about. 2.3.2: Basic Facts about Britain.
Land use.
arable land: 25% permanent crops: 0% permanent pastures: 46%
forests and woodland: 10%
other: 19% (1993 est.).
(Presumably this includes roads, urban areas, rubbish dumps, mountains). Highways.
total: 371,603 km paved: 371,603 km (including
3,303 km of expressways) unpaved: 0 km (1998 est.) Waterways.
3,200 km Pipelines.
Crude oil (almost all insignificant)
933 km; petroleum products 2,993 km; natural gas 12,800 km. 2.3.3: Britain’s Current Carbon Status: The Difference between Carbon Imports
and Exports.
2.3.3.1: Measurements of Britain’s Current Carbon Status.
There is only one source
of information which can be used to estimate britain’s current Carbon status. Department of the Environment.
The doe has calculated that
in 1990 the country’s Carbon emissions were roughly, "UK CO2 emissions
in 1990 totalled 160 million tonnes of carbon (mtC)." whilst its Carbon absorption
was .. "In 1990 .. an estimated 2.9mtC were removed from the atmosphere
and stored in forests, vegetation and soils .." Thus, the country’s Carbon
status is -157.1mtC which means it is a Carbon debtor to the extent of 157.1mtC.
Carbon absorption is a paltry .. "1.4% of total emissions." The doe, desperately trying
to impress the brutish public that it is taking care of the environment whilst
ruthlessly decimating it, points out that this proportion of Carbon absorption
to Carbon emissions could rise to 1.7% in 2010 - although there is no certainty
that it will. This prediction seems to be based on the assumptions that Carbon
emissions will stay as they are whilst Reforestation projects between 1990 and
2010 increase Carbon absorption by 600,000 tonnesC .. "if the present rate
of increase in tree cover continues, afforestation since 1990 could save 0.6
mtC in 2010." This works out 30,000 tonnes a year! If the average car releases
approximately 3,500 pounds of CO2 annually (or 946poundsC) it wouldn’t take
many new cars on the road to wipe out this extraction of Carbon from the atmosphere.
If, however, current trends in britain continue and Carbon emissions go on falling
whilst the country’s Carbon absorption also goes on decreasing then the proportion
of Carbon absorption to Carbon emissions could fall even further - which is
a rather staggering prospect. 2.3.3.2: Measurements that might Provide Some Indication of the Britain’s
Current Carbon Status.
Malcolm Slesser.
"If we attributed to the
English climate a growing potential similar to the world average (actually it
is below that) then that area could sequester bio-mass through solar energy
at the rate of 2 x 109 GJ/yr. The UK energy consumption in recent years has
been around 10 x 109 GJ/yr. Thus the natural bio-mass system could not, by a
factor of 5, match demand." Guardian
"Government scientists calculated
that one million hectares of new trees would remove 2-5% of the total UK emissions
of CO2." 2.3.4: The Policies Needed for Britain to balance it’s Current Carbon Status.
Reducing Carbon Emissions.
It has been argued that
brutland’s Carbon emissions have been falling as a result of technological advances
and that there is a huge potential for further reductions, "Britain’s CO2
emissions have been in continual decline for the past 20 years. They peaked
in 1973, before the 1974 oil crisis, at the equivalent of 178 mt of Carbon.
Most industrial nations are still hugely wasteful in their use of energy and
have great potential both to conserve energy and generate it in ways that are
less damaging to the environment." The potential for further reductions
in Carbon emissions may be significant but even if they are reduced by 50% (from
160mtC per year to 80mtC whilst Carbon imports remain at 2.9mtC) all this would
do is increase the percentage of Carbon imports to Carbon exports from a truly
pathetic 1.4% to a minuscule 2.8%. In other words, even a substantial reduction
in Carbon emissions of 50% wouldn’t make a noticeable impact on the country’s
Carbon status. In other words, it is not sensible for britain to try to balance
its Carbon status solely by reducing Carbon emissions. If it tried to do this
and aimed to create a balanced Carbon status it would need to reduce Carbon
emissions from 160mtC per year to 2.9mtC - a reduction of 98%. This clearly
would be absurd. In order to allow it to emit more Carbon than a meagre 2.9mtC
whilst still having a balanced Carbon status it would also need to dramatically
increase Reforestation. Reforestation.
It was noted above that
scientists have estimated that to remove 2-5% of britain’s Carbon emissions
it would be necessary to plant a Forest of roughly a million hectares. In other
words, in order for brutland to balance its current Carbon budget it would have
to plant somewhere between 20-50 million hectares. 2.3.5: Britain’s Chronic Geophysiological Condition.
Although, at present, there
is no way of accurately assessing the country's current Carbon status, there
is sufficient information to be able to draw some clear cut conclusions; that
the difference between Carbon emissions and Carbon absorption could hardly be
greater and that the proportion of Carbon absorption to Carbon emissions is
appalling. In other words, brutland makes a chronic 1.4% (perhaps rising to
1.7% in 2010) contribution to the Earth’s life support system in this country.
It is scandalous that the brutish government struts around the world stage posing
as an environmental hero when, proportionately speaking, it is one of the world’s
biggest Earth-wreckers. Is it not absolutely scandalous
that this country (and its greens) thinks it can continue to make such a pathetic
contribution to the Earth’s life support system and that it can just leave it
to other countries to absorb brutish Carbon pollution? Perhaps it believes that
poor countries ought to take responsibility for maintaining the Earth’s Forest
cover whilst brutish thugs continue to indulge in further bouts of degenerate
economic growth. Greens in this country do not support Reforestation so do they
think the rest of the world is going to allow this situation to go uncriticized?
This is a truly appalling insight into the degeneracy of the green movement
in this country. No wonder they don’t want to talk about it. They’re the most
pathetic bunch of snivelling cretinous two faced hypocritical Shiites – and
these are only the adjectives that come quickly to mind. This is by no means the end of this Carbonomics
analysis of the country’s geophysiological status. The above analysis
has looked only at what could be called britain’s Carbon current account.
What also needs to be taken into account are the Carbon emissions the
country has dumped into the atmosphere since the start of the industrial
revolution. Some might argue that it absurd taking into account environmental
pollution that happened two centuries ago and yet a significant quantity
of the pollution that was dumped into the atmosphere at that time is still
there now continuing to boost global burning. The country’s predicament
also needs to explored in terms of the global context. For example, if
we were living in a period of global cooling where other country’s around
the world were absorbing far more Carbon than they were releasing into
the atmosphere then britain might be looked upon by the rest of the world
as environmental heroes trying to stave off a new ice age. However, the
fact is that we are living in a period of global burning where all countries
are either dumping more Carbon into the atmosphere than they are absorbing,
or hoping to do so in the near future once their plans for economic expansionism
begin to bare fruit, so the last thing the world needs is a country who’s
Carbon absorption is a mere 1.4% of its Carbon emissions. This is taking
oomano-imperialism to an extreme.
However, before looking
at the country’s Carbon status in its historical and global context, it is necessary
to investigate the autumn 2000 floods which seem to indicate that the country’s
geophysiological condition is as appalling as the above analysis suggests.
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