comment#1
comment#2
comment#3
comment#4
comment#5
comment#6
comment#7
comment#8
comment#9
comment#10
comment#11
comment#12
comment#13
comment#14
comment#15
home

C. "Nuke 'em Dan" vs. binLaden



Dear Friends, I write to you again out of concern that I might be misread as "nuke 'em Dan." While I indeed sought to bring us all to consider our REAL power, our nuclear power, as a factor in the equasion, delivered by our irresistable ICBMs, it was in the full expectation that the credible threat that we present to end our vulnerability to destruction by suicidal terror would bring the terror to an end. Medicine asks all physicians before acting to ask themselves: am I improving the situation with my intervention or might I be doing harm? As a medical student one gets the illusion that medicine is a great battle between doctor and disease. But the practice of medicine puts before the physician another dimension: the limitless suffering that is inflicted on man by disease. Most of the time, pathology is beyond our control; paliative treatment of suffering is all we can do. Once that is appreciated, one from then on forward invariable asks if his/her intervention will ameliorate or enhance that botomless suffering. Hence, the dictum: above all do no harm. This dictum puts the physician before a most vexing dilema, as often the prolongation of life is a tradeoff with enhancement of suffering. To avoid this disabling dilema, physicians follow standard process algorithms and leave the rest to the patient's will. President Bush would have been well served to consider that dilema. As the voice of the people, he must meet the common man's three post-Sept 11th demands: (a) get even; (b) end the insecurity; (c) return things to where they were on Sept. 10th. In essence, the President is asked by the people to "cure" them of this disease, of A SENSE OF TERROR, from which they suffer and under whose influence they cannot function. This means that he must act. My first correspondence to you came last Saturday when I was made aware that the President had chosen to act. I felt that no action on his part could achieve his people's three demands. To these plebian considerations, he also had to integrate the demands of all the patrician interests that characterize the Republican Party. While the paralyzing impact of terror makes action necessary, the target is ultimately the lands from which eminates the bulk of the feul that runs the West. And, so the President must consider the three demands of the freightened and angered masses along with the limitations imposed by grander practical factors. Mr. Bush must also face the fact that none of our "allies" were hit as we were. Therefore, to join our coalition is to invite a threat that is not only unmanagable but would not exist for them if these nation broke with the Americans. Bin Laden has passsed the word that those Western states that keep clear of our Grand Alliance will be spared. How could a government, therefore, justify to its citizens that it has brought on them terrorism with which it cannot cope only in order to assist the only target of the terrorism, America. Then there are the Moslem states. Fragmented most skillfully by the European colonialists for about a century, so that they were powerless, subserviance to the West has now come to be seen as the greatest sin to illegitamizes a regime. Besides that, this terror campaign has been declared a "Jihad," a holy war. On would thus be betraying God and man by joining the Grand Alliance. As a result, Moslem states have followed a comical process of being in and out at the same time, actively assisting one side and then the other, so that, in sum, their contribution has to be counterproductive from our point of view, lest they be seen as-- more than traitors-- vile sinners. In sum then, the United States is alone. And-- until failure mixes with the cost in treasure and blood-- united. But as costs rise-- Vietnam is an example-- the finger of guilt will point every-which-way and domestic squables will dictate military policy. One cannot help but wonder, in light of the forboding precedence of defeat, if Mr. Bush has considered the dictum: above all do no harm. In other words, has he weighed the advantages and disadvantages of action as opposed to inaction? Please consider as the essential element of my position the view that if we do NOTHING about Sept 11th; that, I believe, will enhance the credibility of our threat that should another major terrorist incident occur we will pulverize with nucleat-tipped ICBMs the locations where the Mullahs can be found. Our threat should be limited to incidents in the United States. All other acts against US instalations abroad should be met through the action of an international consortium whose objective it is to cut-off the Mullahs' "hands" with which they commit terror (such as bin Laden's organization-- one of several). Thus, bin Laden's fate is sealed, no matter what else happens. But there are better ways of getting this desert rat than with the top of the line of our forces. We cannot let others think that the best of what we have was needed to destroy the best of what they have. Better defence of our installations in coordination with our Grand Alliance would serve better the elimination of terrorism's "middle management." Failled efforts may school them well for the next time. But if we turn these into major embarassments as our superior covert operations achieve a high standard of competence under diplomatic support, success will be assured and the number of willing "martyrs" will decrease. But in such cases we must work slowly, steadily and quietly. Unfortunately, a very important secret is out. We can ONLY function as an open society and, therefore, cannot do for our instalations in-country what we can do for those abroad. Our vulnerability assures that dramatic assaults on our foreign instalations will serve as training tools rather than ultimate goals. So long as the Muslim War against the "Great Satan" continues, if we do nothing, America is the prime target. Our defencelessness insures that. It is almost comical how the sending of antrhax by mail can so disrupt American society. One can only imagine what awaits us when we are under viral attack. It takes many bacteria (which are living organisms and therefore tend to perish before they infect) to make people deathly sick. It only takes one virus (and since it is not a living organism it can survive under harsh circumstances) and for viruses there are no antibiotics. I also cringe in shame at how the turning of civilian aircraft into guided misilles is considered such a sohisticated operation-- just so as not to expose how wrecklessly unprepared were, AND ARE, the airlines. Stupid mistakes on the terrorists' part have been eiminated by on the job learning. We can only expect truly more sophisticated operations from here on in. This raises the question of whether Mr. Bushe's neither/nor response, above all, does no harm. We as a nation have suffered enough. If we deem whatever comes next to be terrorism's response to our air assault on Afghanistan, Mr. Bush will be held personally responsible. What then befalls him is nothing compared to the weakness that befalls the nation once this all becomes a political football. With mid-term elections one year away, one can easily forsee a terror-politics coordination to render America even more helpless than now, possibly pleading with the terrorists for "negotiations," as was done in 1968 after a major offensive in Vietnam. Time is NOT on our side. So what can we do? Let us recall that some two decades ago Khomeini sought to unite the Moslem World in a religious purge of itself. From our point of view, that meant to learn to live not wanting the global modernity we were offering. Previously, secular Pan-Arabism had its heroes. And their demise did cause some aggitation. But secular nationalism suffered from a self-limitation that never created a problem in the Middle East which we could not manage. Our insurmountable troubles began when the Moslem Youth was sought after in a religious crusade. I strongly recommend reading Ofira Seliktar's FAILING THE CRYSTAL BALL TEST (2000) for an analysis of America's inability to confront the two steps assault of the Mullahs: redemtion of the faithful and attack on the Great Satan. Had any in our Government been less cynical, they would have seen the parallel between the moblization of Moslem youths, irrespective of sects or nationality, into a sort of Moslems sans frontieres, and the moblilization of Polish youth against the Soviets. Pope Paul, like Khomeini, called on them to sacrifice for faith instead of material things. Yet, we honored one and besmerched the other. In both cases secular states were helpless. The symbols of faith came to mean more than the sufffering inflicted by the state. Concequently, the resistance could not be quelled. As we go after bin Laden, we refuse to recall the Polish CP's lack of sucess killing by his Catholic counterparts. The more such priests died, the more youths came to sacrifice security and to face sufffering. The trouble with action is that if you undershoot, you lose miserably. It is very much like trying to kill a snake by stomping on its middle; you leave yourself vulnerable to its poisonous fangs. That is why I feel that we have no choise but to threaten the head. And, should our threat succeed, we have no choise but to co-exist with the Mullahs in the Muslim world. Just as JFK threatened the Soviets in the past (I thank Dolf Droge for the very interesting case-example)we must make clear that we hold them, the Mullahs, responsible should another major incident occur and will "nuke" them. In that way, we live under the threat of their irresistable power to terrorize the United States and they live under the threat of our irresistable power to wipe them and all their "holy sites" (I thank Mr. Phillip Karber for that consideration as an alternative to Teharan and Baggdad) off the face of the earth. We then live back in the MAD-- mutually assured destruction-- of the Cold War, as we did with the Soviets. And, we can hope that the Moslem peoples will, like the peoples of the Red Bloc, reverse this system, moving history backwards to Medieval times. The Taliban and the Mullahs are a Moslem World solution to Moslem World problems. It is their world and we must not interfere. Economic need on both sides will insure state-to-state accords and diplomacy. We have prevailed over Communism while dealing with them both in terms of cooperation and MAD; we must now prevail over the "martyrs for Allah" and the Mullahs; until then we must coexist in the same way. This can only be done, as in the Cold War, through credible deterrence. And yet, we cannot forget that our Cold War credibility would not have existed without our demonstrations at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. We might, therefore-- and by God I pray we don't-- be forced to demonstrate the power and feasability of our unique nuclear capablility. That may also serve to educate other potential threats. Our goal should be to insure the impenetrability of the continental United States. That's as much as we have been able to hope for since WWII. For the rest, it will continue to be a complex mix of diplomacy, trade and force for the forseable future. Above all we must recognize that in defending our shores we have no allies. We can only have allies on common interests. Our enemy is not drawable on organizational charts as was the Communist Bloc. The cells are loosesly bound and unbound and rebound based on the fascilitations of the Mullahs. We cannot change that now. That takes time and effort and lots of ups and downs. All we can do now is deter by convincing that to AGAIN attack the US means death. The rest, well, that's what we've got generals and diplomats for. Daniel E. Teodoru
1