PART TWO: CARBONOMICS - CARBON ACCOUNTING |
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Chapter one highlighted the advantages and disadvantages of
various methodologies for assessing environmental and social factors. This chapter
assesses the advantages, and disadvantages, of using the Earth’s Carbon spiral
as such a measure.
2.1: The Technical Advantages of a Global Carbon Audit.2.1.1: Quantifiability.
Carbon accounting has one main advantage over rival environmental accounting systems when it comes to quantifiability. It is easier to quantify the amount of Carbon on Earth than hydrogen, water, oxygen, or energy, because there is less of it. Carbon is easier to quantify than energy because it is a physical entity rather than a potentiality. It is easier to measure than money - if only because people do not go out of their way to hide Carbon as they do money e.g. money acquired by illegal means or money hidden to prevent it being taken by illegal means.
In order to illustrate the relative ease of measuring Carbon
it may be as well to explore an example. Klaus lanz asks how it would
be possible to measure the amount of water used to manufacture a car.
This is the sort of question that would need to be answered if one factor
whether Carbon, water, oxygen, or hydrogen, was used as an environmental
measuring device, "How do you begin to calculate the amount of water
used in making a car? For a middle of the range car made in germany, the
production of the steel and aluminium alone takes 78,000 litres of water,
without allowing for the extraction of raw materials or other stages in
manufacture that are extremely water-intensive but virtually impossible
to quantify. It is not even possible to produce reliable figures for the
water consumption involved in the production of a frozen chicken."
It would be virtually impossible to find out how much water is used not
so much because of the difficulty in tracing the water life-line back
to all the industries which contribute to the manufacture of a car but
because so much water is used. In addition, as will be argued later, even
if it was possible to obtain an answer to this question, the amount of
water that exists around the Earth is so substantial that the amount used
to manufacture cars would fade into irrelevance. What makes the use of
water as a measuring device even less relevant is that it does not have
as close a link to the Earth’s climate as Carbon does. 2.1.2: Active Carbon.
It has been estimated that Carbon makes up 4% of the Earth’s crust. Although this is a small percentage it is nevertheless a colossal amount of material. This would seem to make it more difficult to quantify. What makes the task much easier, however, is that most Carbon is in ‘stock’ form, only a minuscule percentage is in flux around the Earth, "Though carbon makes up 4% of the earth's mass, most of it is contained in inorganic rock material or enclosed organic material. Only a tiny fraction (0.04%) participates in the atmospheric-biological-oceanic carbon cycle that influences the world's climate."; "The majority of the carbon is found in rocks ... The combined carbon content of all the other reservoirs (atmosphere, land biota, soil humus, fossil fuels, marine biota, dissolved compounds) comes to less than 1% of the total." Although the inactive Carbon in stock form would still need to be incorporated into a Carbon audit, it would play little part in the calculation of a Carbon budget.
2.1.3: A Fixed Quantity of Carbon on Earth.
Another advantage of Carbon over rival measuring devices is that whilst the total quantity of Carbon on Earth is relatively stable this is not the case with hydrogen, energy, water, and money, whose quantities on Earth vary over time. This means it could be used as a fixed, and thus more reliable, measuring device unlike its rivals. Variations in the quantities of hydrogen, energy, water, and money, make it far more difficult for them to be used to evaluate the environment.
2.1.4: Modelling of the Global Carbon Spiral.
It has been argued it would be impossible to measure, and keep track of, all the Carbon flowing around the Earth since this would require technological measuring devices to be attached to every blade of grass and every type of bacteria. However, this endeavour might not be as futile as suspected. Firstly, satellites currently scan the Earth's entire Vegetation cover, and efforts are currently being made to develop a Vegetation index of the Earth’s Phytomass. Secondly, data collection and analysis would be easier with the aid of high-powered computers using sophisticated software programmes. One day it might be possible for climatologists to link a general climate model to the Vegetation index to provide details about the way the Earth’s Photosynthetic capacity affects the Earth’s climate and the way that each country’s Phytomass affects the climate. This in turn could be linked to one of the increasing number of computerized maps showing a country’s land usage, "It is hoped that by the year 2000 there will be a modern equivalent of the Doomsday book. The computerized version of the Doomsday book detailing the use, value and boundaries of land all over Britain .. It will be .. based on the Ordnance Survey’s digital maps which are overlaid with information such as the boundaries of properties from the land registry, the national register of land ownership. It will also include the location of gas, water and electricity mains, the type of crops grown in fields, and the rent of office blocks." It would not be too difficult to adapt this system to include the areas of land suffocated in cement and the sources of Carbon released into the environment. These technologies should make it possible to provide a means of measuring the state of the Earth’s Carbon spiral in each country and humans’ overall impact on the global Carbon spiral.
2.1.5: Pervasiveness; The Unity of Human and Environmental Factors.
Carbon is not as abundant on Earth as either energy or water but it is still pervasive because of its critical role in the Earth's life processes, "Carbon is all-pervasive everywhere in Earth’s dynamism, albeit at tiny concentrations compared with silicon and many other elements." The fabulous diversity of life on Earth is possible only because Carbon is capable of creating complex molecular structures which form the basis of all life on Earth. Carbon is also a vital component of the climate. Although, quantitatively speaking, Carbon makes a far smaller contribution to the greenhouse effect than water vapour it plays a more critical role in determining the scale of the greenhouse effect. Carbon is also more important than water in the sense that it is life, not the water cycle, which stabilizes the climate. Finally, and perhaps most significantly as far as humans are concerned, everything that humans do affects the Earth's Carbon spiral and thus everything they do can be measured by its impact on the climate. Unlike many of the theories outlined above, Carbon can be used to measure both human, and environmental, phenomena. The Carbon spiral can be used to compare a comprehensive range of economic, environmental, biological, and climatic, phenomena.
2.1.6: Convertibility.
Another advantage of a global Carbon audit is the possibility of converting non-Carbon phenomena into Carbon equivalents. There are various forms of conversion.
2.1.6.1: Greenhouse Gas Conversion.
It is possible to convert non-Carbon greenhouse gases into Carbon equivalents. The ipcc's concept of global warming potentials is already converting the climatic impact of greenhouse gases into Carbon equivalents. 2.1.6.2: The Albedo Effect and the Heat Effect.
Neither the Earth’s heat effect not its albedo effect can be converted into Carbon terms. However, given that humans could stabilize the Earth’s climate through varying the scale of the Earth’s Forest cover, it would be possible to estimate the effects of these changes on the Earth’s albedo and heat effects. 2.1.6.3: The Water Cycle.
Once again, it is not possible to convert the water cycle into Carbon terms. But, given the important role of Forests in the functioning of the water cycle it could be argued that once the Earth’s Forest cover was sufficient to stabilize the climate this would virtually automatically ensure the stable functioning of the Earth’s water cycle so that it could be treated as a given and would not need to be taken into consideration. If all the Earth’s Forests were destroyed this would seriously disturb the global water cycle, and thus the climate, which would mean it would need to be considered in environmental accounting. 2.1.7: Geophysiological Limitations.
The key advantage of a global Carbon audit/budget over all other types of environmental measure is that there is a knowable (although not yet ascertained) limit to the amount of Carbon that could be allowed into the atmosphere, and a knowable (although not yet ascertained) scale of Forest cover, to maintain climatic stability. Whilst it is not possible to determine the limit to the amount of energy which could be tolerated on Earth without destabilizing the climate, it should be possible to determine such limits for the concentration of atmospheric Carbon and the scale of the Earth’s Forest cover.
2.1.8: Holistic Measuring of Particular Carbon Phenomena.
Once the geophysiological limits to the concentration of atmospheric Carbon and the scale of the Earth’s Forest cover have been determined it should be possible to use these limits as geophysiological benchmarks to evaluate all other Carbon movements around the Earth - whether these movements have been brought about by planetary or anthropogenic factors. It is this capability which makes Carbon, and Carbon alone, a holistic, global-wide, measuring device for both planetary changes and human activities. Once a global Carbon audit has been calculated, it would be possible to evaluate any particular quantity of Carbon, whether part of a social or geophysiological process, in terms of its affect on the climate.
2.1.9: The Terrestrialization of the Carbon Spiral.
The overwhelming majority of the energy on Earth derives from the sun which means that energy can be regarded as an astronomic concept. On the other hand, the Carbon spiral is a purely terrestrial process. All Carbon originated from the ‘big bang’ and depths of the universe and has been called ‘star-dust’, but it no longer flows to the Earth in anything like the same amount as energy and hydrogen. The Carbon trapped on Earth has been terrestrialized. Even if the first Carbon compounds on Earth came from outer space, including the first Photosynthesizers, the vast majority of the Earth’s Carbon compounds, and all of the complex ones, have been synthesized on Earth in response to the particular conditions prevailing on the Earth. Most of these compounds, including those which make up Carbon based life forms, are unlikely to exist on other planets. The more complex the Carbon compound the more this is likely to be the case. Carbon probably exists throughout the universe and there may be many living Planets, but each one is likely to have its own unique collection of Carbon compounds and Carbon based life forms.
2.1.10: Earth Centred.
Carbon is the most important element in the Earth’s life support system, and thus a global Carbon audit automatically focuses attention on the Earth. In comparison, because the bulk of the energy on Earth emanates from the sun, energy analysts tend to focus on solar energy and thus the sun. Such analysts tend to be Earth blind. It doesn't matter to them whether the Earth's land surface is covered in energy absorbing technologies or is a pristine Wilderness. All they are interested in is the energy they can extract from the area. This is not the case with a global Carbon audit. An area of land would have quite different Carbon implications according to whether it is a Wilderness area, pastureland, a Tree pharm, an urban area or an industrial site. Using Carbon as an environmental measure makes the Earth the prime focus of attention.
2.1.11: The Priority of the Earth.
Whilst other environmental analyses e.g. natural resource stock taking, cost-benefit analysis, etc., can be manipulated to maximize human interests over the interests of everything else, not merely other species but the Earth itself, a Carbon spiral analysis puts the Earth's interests first - and if the human race wishes to survive it will have to adapt its interests to those of the Earth.
2.1.12: Measuring the Vitality of the Earth.
A global Carbon audit gives a direct measure of the health, wealth, and welfare of the Earth and its Biodiversity. It could also be used to measure human health, wealth and welfare - but not in isolation from the health, wealth and welfare of the Earth.
2.1.13: Simplicity.
One of the main advantages of a global Carbon audit as a socio-environmental measure is its simplicity. Even though money is also a single measure the complexities of environmental pricing have been highlighted above. Carbon compares favourably with the theoretical difficulties involved in using money as a measuring device.
There are a number of commentators, however, who have suggested that a single measure for environmental and anthropogenic accounting is not feasible. Firstly, "There is now strong political pressure to develop credible means to quantify, compare and rank the effects of different technological strategies. A wide range of specialists have proposed various approaches: cost-benefit analysis, comparative risk analysis, multi-criteria analysis, decision analysis and environmental impact assessment are among the principal contenders. The complexity of environmental phenomena cannot be expressed by means of a single numerical index .. " This is not true. This is exactly what could be done using the global Carbon spiral.
Secondly, david pearce opposes a system of physical resource accounting because, "Physical accounts are limited because they lack a common unit of measurement and it is not possible to gauge their importance relative to each other and to non environmental goods and services." This statement is similarly untrue. Carbon is not only the common denominator of many geophysiological phenomena it is also a common denominator for all human activities because everything that humans do affects the Earth's Carbon spiral. If physical accounts of Carbon are not kept it will be impossible to regulate the climate and create a sustainable Planet.
A minor advantage of a global Carbon audit over various types of energy analyzes is that, on the level of mass education, whilst it is difficult to envisage units of energy e.g. ‘what is a kcal or a kjoule’; ‘how much work do kcals or kjoules represent?’ etc. - it is much less difficult to conceive of a unit of Carbon since it can be seen, felt, and weighed. It would be even easier for society to appreciate the targets set by a global Carbon budget for the quantity of atmospheric Carbon and the scale of Forest cover when regulating the Earth’s climate. Both are straightforward measurements which could be given at the end of all news’ broadcasts in place of current announcements about the Earth-rapists’ dow-jones index or footsie 100. 2.2: The Climatic Advantages of a Carbon Spiral Analysis over Energy Analyses.A global Carbon audit is more relevant than
an energy analysis for evaluating all the major factors contributing to
the Earth’s climate. Although it covers a much smaller range of environmental
phenomena than an energy analysis, it incorporates more phenomena influencing
the climate. A model of the Earth’s energy flows could theoretically include
every phenomena on Earth (because everything contains energy) but, in
practice, it would be difficult to model the phenomena containing smaller
quantities of energy - even though these phenomena exert a large impact
on the Earth’s climate. Such phenomena could be encapsulated, however,
by a global Carbon spiral:- * the role played by coccolithophorids
in depositing Carbon shells on the sea floor is an important component
of the Earth’s climate regulation system. Whilst it would have little
influence in an energy model it would be an important part of a Carbon
audit; * ruminant/termite flatulence, and Manure, would be negligible factors in an energy accounting system but would be an important part of a global Carbon audit; * greenhouse gases have a negligible energy content (as opposed to their origins in fossil fuels) but they have a large impact on the Earth’s Carbon spiral; * the heat generated by the burning of a specific quantity of fossil fuels is far less than the heat captured in the atmosphere by the greenhouse gases released as a result of the combustion of these fossil fuels. As lovelock points out, "The effect of that doubling of CO2 on the global energy balance is some 80 times greater than the heat generated by the burning of fossil fuels and forest destruction that has given rise to the CO2 in the first place." * decomposing vegetation is irrelevant in energy terms but makes an important contribution to a Carbon analysis. Slesser makes a point about energy analyzes which exposes another major difference between Carbon, and energy, analyzes, "To give up meat would make for greater self-sufficiency, would release food for others to eat, but it would not make a remarkable difference to the energy budgets of the developed countries." The validity of the last part of this statement is not known. But, if it's true, it exposes another example of the superiority of a Carbon spiral analysis over an energy analysis. Whilst in terms of energy there may be little difference between a carnivorous, and a non-meat eating, society there is a vast difference in terms of the global Carbon spiral. Meat eating societies destabilize the climate whereas non-carnivorous societies would not. 2.3: The Versatility of the Global Carbon Audit/Budget.Given Carbon's central role in both the diversification of Biodiversity and the stabilization of the Earth’s climate, it should not be surprising that a global Carbon/budget audit could be a versatile intellectual tool. A Carbon audit could not only form the basis of a global Carbon budget to formulate policies to regulate the climate, it could also be used as a methodology to determine a vast range of issues which, at present, are not merely not being measured but which would be difficult to measure using other environmental analyzes:- * the human activities causing the most geophysiological damage; ** whether individuals, governments or multi-national corporations are causing the most ecological damage; *** the scale and rate of global, ecological devastation; **** the Earth value of each species on Earth; ***** the biggest ecological disaster on Earth; ****** the scale of the geophysiological debts of the over-industrialized nations and the geophysiological credits of the poor/disintegrating nations; ******* the basis of global justice between nations; ******** the scale of Forest cover and the concentration of atmospheric Carbon needed to stabilize the climate; and, ********* the nature of a sustainable Planet.
The global Carbon audit and a global Carbon budget could be used not merely to diagnose geophysiological problems but to formulate policies to combat them. This is vital for many reasons:-
* it is important to determine which human activities cause the most geophysiological destruction because there is little point in wasting huge amounts of time, effort, and resources, formulating policies to reduce the geophysiological damage caused by a particular human activity if other activities are causing even more geophysiological damage;
** it is important to determine who is causing the most geophysiological damage so that appropriate action can be taken against them;
*** it is vital to know how close to a collapse is the Earth’s life support system for humans. There is little point formulating policies on the basis that the Earth’s life support system is going to be flourishing at the end of the next century if there is likely to be a global breakdown in the next three decades. The Carbon audit provides an invaluable measuring device to estimate the seriousness of the Planet’s geophysiological predicament;
**** it is necessary to know the Earth value of each species so that land can be allocated to those species protecting the Earth’s life support system. There is no point in giving more rights and freedoms to those species destroying the Earth’s life support system;
***** it is necessary to know which geophysiological disaster poses the biggest threat to the Earth’s life support system because there is little point in formulating policies to combat one geophysiological problem if other, more serious, problems are left unattended;
****** it is important to know which countries are Carbon creditors and thus can be allowed to continue developing (primarily the poor/industrializing nations) and which countries are Carbon debtors and thus have to deconstruct parts of their industrial structure (primarily the over-industrialized nations);
******** it is possible to win the agreement of all nations around the world to combat global burning only on the basis of global ecological justice between nations. This requires that each country balances its historical Carbon budgets;
********* it is imperative to discover the scale of Forest cover and the concentration of atmospheric Carbon needed to stabilize the climate and create a sustainable Planet because otherwise all countries around the world will continue to dump as much pollution into the atmosphere as possible, and decimate their Forests as rapidly as possible, thereby destabilizing the climate and impoverishing the Earth’s life support system for humans;
********** finally, it is imperative to work out the structure of a sustainable Planet. A provisional outline is that one-third of the Earth’s land should be devoted exclusively to Wildlife; one third to climate Forests to help stabilize the climate; and one-third to regional Wood economies in which humans would obtain all of their resources from regional Forests. If humans attempt to create a global village through the widespread use of solar power they will destroy the Earth’s life support system. 2.4: The Political Advantages of a Global Carbon Audit/Budget.2.4.1: The Integration and Systematization of Political Policies.
A global Carbon audit/budget could be used to formulate geophysiological policies for stabilizing the climate i.e. restoring the Earth’s life support system and for evaluating the geophysiological viability i.e. sustainability, of human activities. It has two political advantages over other forms of environmental assessment. Firstly, it could formulate, and assess, policies on the local, national, international or global, levels, "Interactions among the different system goals change as the scale or hierarchy of the systems is extended from the local to the regional, and thence to the national and even global level." Other socio-environmental accounting systems cannot do this - with the alleged exception of the natural steps’ ideas. Secondly, it could also systematize policies so they worked in harmony with each other on all levels. At present, many proposed green policies on one level (i.e. the neighbourhood/local/regional/national/global) are in conflict with green policies at another level (e.g. national policies are in conflict with international policies; international policies are in conflict with local policies etc). A global Carbon audit could ensure that green policies at all levels were mutually compatible. With this accounting system it would be possible to move from one level to the next, and then back again, with the ease of a concert pianist practising musical scales. 2.4.2: Budgetary Politics.
2.4.2.1: The Need for Budgetary Politics.
Carbonomics introduced the idea of a geophysiological, as opposed to a financial, budget. This budgetary approach to green politics distinguishes it from what normally passes for so-called ‘green’ policies. Even though greens proclaim they want to save the Earth, they continue to advocate policies which would destroy the Earth’s life support system for humans because they have no budget limiting human exploitation of the Earth’s life sustaining processes. Like out and out, self-confessed, Earth-rapists, greens believe they can go on consuming the Earth's wealth without worrying how they are going to pay for their extravagance. It is quite true that, "Taking the world as a whole, the point of overdevelopment has long been surpassed. Yet most people, including many ‘greens’ are prepared to sacrifice more environments .. by consenting to a bit more development - one more motorway, one more housing estate, one more hotel, one more factory, one more plantation, one more quarry." Greens show no sign of implementing policies which could prevent them from causing such damage.
One of the major difficulties involved in preventing a geophysiological disaster is not the large-scale environmental disasters which grab the media spotlight and trigger green protests, but the insidious, small scale, routine, day by day, destruction of the Earth carried out by multi-national corporations and the billions of consumers around the Earth, especially in the over-industrialized world. The Earth is being destroyed bit by bit, interspersed by the occasional big bangs. A global Carbon budget would ensure that policies did not exceed the Earth’s geophysiological constraints and destroy the Earth’s life sustaining processes - even green policies designed to protect the environment. In other words, it would ensure that all green policies are not merely in harmony with each other around the world, but in harmony with the Earth’s geophysiological needs. 2.4.2.2: The Spread of Budgetary Politics.
The phrase ‘global Carbon budget’ has been common in scientific circles for a long while and is used by organic chemists/geologists to determine the stocks and flows of Carbon around the Earth. Carbonomics is first attempt to transfer this phrase into the political realm and suggest that, methodologically, the Earth’s global Carbon spiral should be used to formulate policies to combat global burning. The great advantage of using a global Carbon budget is that it could not merely take into account Carbon emissions into the atmosphere but, more importantly, the extraction of Carbon from the atmosphere by Photosynthesis. Unfortunately, the intergovernmental panel on climate change and the vast majority of greens are not concerned about the role played by Forests in global burning. The mundi club is one of the few green organizations around the world to promote Reforestation as a means of combating global burning.
In 1994 greenpeace published ‘The Climate Time Bomb’ in which it dismissed the idea of green budgetary policies on the grounds that there was no such thing as a fertilization effect resulting from the billions of tons of Carbon that humans were dumping into the environment, "The idea that excess carbon dioxide can encourage the growth of certain plant species (under glasshouse conditions) has been an argument in some quarters that global warming may in some degree be good for agriculture. Swiss experimenters growing a tropical ecosystem in an elevated carbon dioxide atmosphere now find no significant change in biomass, and carbon emissions from soil. This is a very significant development. It means that any attempt to quantify the "comprehensive approach" and "net emissions" concepts in CO2 emission-limitations will be more difficult yet, and in all ultimately likelihood impossible." Greenpeace promoted this rather bizarre proposition because it believed global burning could be combated only through reductions in Carbon emissions. It dismissed Reforestation as a solution to global burning.
In the late 1990s greenpeace reversed its stance and adopted the idea of a ‘global Carbon budget’. It admitted that, "The `carbon budget' concept has the capacity to shed significant light on the implications of current fossil fuel policy for long term climate policy objectives." However, as can be seen from this quote, greenpeace surrounded the budget with apostrophes. This is because its focus is still primarily on Carbon emissions. The ‘Carbon Logic’ campaign suggest there are three options for combating - the first is reducing Carbon emissions; the second includes a smaller reduction in Carbon emissions but with a halt to some deforestation; and the third includes an even smaller reduction in Carbon emissions, a halt to deforestation and an element of Reforestation. Despite the fact that all three options have the same overall impact on the Earth’s Carbon spiral, greenpeace focuses primarily on the first option, that all countries around the world should be allowed to release only 145 billion tonnes of Carbon over the next fifty years. In the first option, greenpeace uses the idea of a ‘budget’ to ensure a cap on global Carbon emissions without mentioning Reforestation. In other words, greenpeace is promoting an emissions only ‘budget’ rather than a Carbon spiral budget which is concerned with emissions and sequestration. Greenpeace’s headline demand is reducing Carbon emissions, "A `carbon budget' - i.e. the total emissions to the atmosphere of carbon dioxide (taking into account the mix of greenhouse gases of which CO2 is most important) - can be calculated on the basis of the ecological targets." It is only in the small print at the back of the document that greenpeace includes options for Reforestation - as if it is going to be possible to combat global burning without Reforestation, "Taking the climate sensitivity to be 3.5oC, with a limit of a 1oC increase in global mean surface temperature above pre-industrial levels and assuming that other greenhouse gases contribute about one quarter of the effect of CO2 alone in the long term, the `carbon budget' over the next century can be estimated in terms of billions of tonnes of carbon (gtC). With these assumptions, the `carbon budget' is:
* 145 gtC - With no action to stop current trends of deforestation (as forests release carbon when destroyed), with 80 GtC emitted from this source over the next century.
* 225 gtC - With major action to halt deforestation, stabilising the role of forests at current levels, which would involve a significant global reafforestation programme next century.
* 265 GtC - With major action to halt deforestation and a major global afforestation programme to sequester (take up) an extra 40 GtC."
In other words, humans can release up to 145gt Carbon without having to bother about halting deforestation or Reforestation; humans can release 225gtC without having to bother about Reforestation; it is only if they release more than this that there must be some Reforestation, "Action to substantially reduce deforestation and to expand afforestation programmes would help stabilize the climate system. Mathematically, for a given total `carbon budget' the more action than can be undertaken to limit deforestation the more of the total budget that would be available for fossil fuel use. If, for example, a combination of programmes to halt deforestation and to re-afforest were undertaken over the next century that resulted in no net deforestation over that period then the fossil fuel budget would equal the total budget for that period i.e. 225 GtC (295 GtC).." Is it not quite incredible that even now when global burning is becoming more and more obvious, that greenpeace is willing to allow a massive increase of 225gtC without any Reforestation? The total load of Carbon currently in the atmosphere is 760gtC so another 225gtC would be a substantial increase.
The reason for greenpeace’s stance is that it is petrified that if it mentions Reforestation too prominently this will give governments around the world an excuse to release more Carbon emissions. It refuses to promote radical policies such as insisting that Carbon debtor countries curb their Carbon emissions and carry out extensive Reforestation. It prefers to opt for political expediency i.e. presenting policies which are so feeble that the world’s biggest Earth rapists might listen to them.
Like greenpeace, the global commons institute (gci) used to dismiss the idea of a Carbon budget because of its exclusive concern for Carbon emissions. However, in more recent years, it too has adopted the idea of a budget but, only, just like greenpeace, a Carbon emissions budget. If anything, the cgi is even more reluctant to talk about Reforestation than greenpeace. In an article published by ‘the ecologist’, simon retallack concentrated solely on the need for reductions in Carbon emissions and ignored Reforestation, "It is therefore the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, in other words the extent of the accumulation of emissions, which must be focused on (to combat the greenhouse effect)." He supports the gci’s demands, with reservations expressed by ‘the ecologist’, "The global commons institute considers that their global framework scheme, ‘contraction and convergence’, could provide the only practical way of overcoming this obstacle (of how much countries should reduce their Carbon emissions). Under the scheme, a global Carbon budget would be set, such as 350 ppmv, to be reached by a particular date, say 2050. Gci argues that the only way to divide this budget among states in a way that is acceptable to all, and hence durable, is on the basis of convergence towards equal entitlements to emit on a per capita basis globally. The ecologist believes this is by no means ideal. (The ecologist fears this would enable third world countries to make large scale developments). On the other hand, whatever may be the Ecologist’s reservations, the adoption of per capita allocations within a global Carbon budget may prove to be the only practical way of bringing the rapidly industrializing world to agree to set a legal cap on its emissions .." Is it not amazing that one of the oldest and most respected green magazines around the world is willing to publish an article which ignores Reforestation? It has to be suggested that the green movement is not green - it is not interested in Reforestation.
2.4.3: The Quantification of Green Politics.
2.4.3.1: Countering the Devaluation of Green Politics.
To date, so-called green politics is almost exclusively about values - ‘respecting the Earth’, ‘treading lightly on the Earth’, ‘taking care of the Earth’, ‘living in harmony with nature’, ‘soft energy paths’, ‘being eco-friendly’, ‘cleaning up the environment’, ‘sustainable development’, ‘recycling’, ‘renewability’, ‘sustainability’, etc. The problem with values is that they tend to be open to an almost infinite range of interpretation. Politicians can draw virtually any policy conclusion they want from these values. Values do not lead to one particular policy - they lead to multiple policies enabling policy-makers to choose which one most suits their interests. Values are then used as nice sounding waffle to give the chosen policy as much credibility as possible. Policy-makers look around for a set of values with which to adorn their policies as if they are choosing bedroom curtains. The same is true of green values. Conventional politicians are using green values to support a wider and wider range of policies which have less and less to do with protecting the Earth’s life support system - new motorways are built to ‘improve the environment’, new shopping malls are built ‘to provide a breath of fresh air’. Proposals for any major construction project which destroy a part of the Earth’s life support system now invariably include claims that the project will provide some benefit for the environment. Green values are slowly becoming more and more corrupted because all Earth-wreckers, including greens and the green party, claim that what they are doing is good for the environment. How is it possible for the public to know whether a policy is really protecting the Earth when every Earth rapist showers green values on their policies like confetti? The problem is that it is in the nature of values to be corrupted so as to mean the exact opposite of what they were originally intended to mean.
A global Carbon analysis would make it possible to quantify the effect of a so-called green proposal on the Earth’s life support system. It could show that it would release ‘x’ tonnes of Carbon and decrease Photosynthesis by ‘y’ tonnes of Carbon. The estimated damage caused by a particular project could be seen in the context of a Carbon budget for the region (and country and world) which would indicate whether the proposal could be accommodated or not. It would no longer be possible for vested interest groups to claim their policies were green when there was evidence to disprove their claims and when there was no room for them in a Carbon budget.
Green politics has been about intangible values and unquantifiable, apple-pie, concepts for too long. If it is going to make any headway at all it needs to be underpinned by a system of quantification and budgetary constraints that will give it some credibility. In a sustainable future, all policy proposals would need to be Carbon costed - especially, policies put forward by greens. Given the disinterest in Reforestation, and the geophysiologically spendthrift ways of greenpeace, ‘the ecologist’, cgi, the land is ours, green decentralists, real world/eco-reformists, etc, it is all too likely that if their policies were implemented they would produce a climate not unlike that found on Venus.
In his book on a sustainable future, hartmut bossel asks one of the most common questions about money which afflicts money oriented societies, "Are there sufficient funds for the operation and maintenance of roads, hospitals, sewage plant?" Once people start posing this question about a monetary budget rather than a Carbon budget they have no chance of protecting the Earth’s life support system. In a sustainable world, the question should be, ‘Are there sufficient Carbon credits available for the operation and maintenance of roads, hospitals, sewage plant?’ The same drawbacks also apply to amory lovins basic question, "In the past, resource issues have typically been framed as, "How can we get more?" Rmi instead starts by asking, "What are we trying to do, and what’s the best and cheapest way to do it?" Thus if people want hot showers and cold beer, one starts with these end-use services, then asks how much energy, of what kind, at what scale, and from what source, would do each desired task in the cheapest way." 2.4.3.2: The Affordability of Green Politics.
It also needs to be considered that many conventional political policies are not promoted solely on the basis of specific cultural/ideological values but on their financial implications and comparative costs. Very often, people are indifferent to the values in which a policy has been dressed up because they are more concerned about whether a policy is affordable or not and whether it would mean sacrificing other policies. They decide to support a policy partly by whether they could afford it and partly by whether it is compatible with other desired policies. So far, it has not been possible to quantify green politics in the same way.
A global Carbon budget would enable the quantification of green politics so that it would be possible to assess a ‘green’ policy’s affordability - how much of a green budget would it use up and whether it would fit in with other desirable policies. For example, if there was a proposal for a huge green construction project which not only released a high proportion of a region’s allocation of Carbon emissions but significantly reduced its Photosynthetic reserves, the people in that region would know there would be little left in their Carbon budget to ‘geophysiologically finance’ other policies. They would have to work out what policies would have to be abandoned if they gave permission to such a construction project. Under these circumstances, it wouldn’t matter how persuasive permaculturalists might be in demanding that an area of land should be turned into a permacultural plot or how devious Earth-rapists were in using green terminology to try and win support for a construction project, people would assess its affordability and comparative costs before deciding whether to support it or not.
2.4.4: The Global Carbon Audit as a Single Measure of the Earth’s Vitality.
One commentator has called for a single measuring device to evaluate human activities and their impact on the environment. She points out one of the political advantages of such a device, "I would like to make an appeal for the development of indicators, simple numbers that could appear on the nightly news with the GNP and the Dow-Jones average. We need indicators that give people an idea of whether their environment is getting better or worse. Probably the single most effective thing the ecological community could do would be to agree and support an ecological indicator, for single nations and for the world as a whole. It could be the Audubon Christmas bird count, the density of lichens, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, the number of miles of unpolluted beach per person - or some weighted average of all these. Something, however imperfect, is better than nothing." She does not seem to have considered the validity of using Carbon as such a measure.
2.4.5: The Global Carbon Audit/Budget as a Chore.
James lovelock rejects the idea of using Carbon as a measuring device because he believes looking after the Earth would be a chore, "There is no worse fate for humans than to so disable the earth that to survive they must take on the task of running the planet. Just think of the task of managing even a developed nation, so that the balance of carbon dioxide emitted by burning fossil fuels and by agriculture was balanced by the uptake by planted trees. A task that would require the meeting and matching of the conflicting interests of the individuals and groups that make up human society, the resisting of the powerful selfish pressures of their lobbies, and at the same time coping with the haphazard changes of the political, economic and actual climate. That would just be the start of it, for then there would be the same and other problems involving inputs and outputs of your nation with those of the numerous other national and tribal states of the world."
There are times when lovelock, one of the greatest scientists of all time, comes over as a hippy who believes that billions of people around the world should just be able to stroll gleefully through life reading shakespeare without a care or worry on their mind, "Do we want the full responsibility for (the Earth's) care and health? There can be no worse fate for people than to be conscripted for such a hopeless task - to be made forever accountable for the smooth running of the climate, the composition of the oceans, the air, and the soil."
There are reasons for believing that even if it would be a chore maintaining a global Carbon audit, it would produce some substantial benefits:-
* Firstly, it would force humans to realize that if they are going to stabilize the climate then each country around the world must co-operate with each other to do this. If they want to survive they have all got to share in protecting the Earth’s life support system. This common project could help to unify the human race and dissuade them from fighting more and more wars for fewer and fewer resources. Unity in biodiversity to rerun quentin hogg’s old slogan.
* Secondly, a Carbon audit/budget would necessitate that all humans think about their relationship to the Earth's life support system so they did not continuously undermine the conditions for their own survival. Since the Earth is being destroyed by billions of small scale cuts a day, it is imperative that each person appreciates the way in which their seemingly insignificant acts are contributing to the destruction of the Earth’s life support system for humans.
* Thirdly, it would ensure that each person, and each country, understood what they had to do to protect the Earth's life sustaining processes.
* Finally, it would provide some constructive work for the increasingly large number of hyped up, socio-pathic juveniles wandering around in multi-drug-induced hazes with nothing to do.
2.4.6: The Bureaucracy required to Monitor the Global Carbon Audit.
There would need to be a considerable bureaucracy to draw up a global Carbon audit, formulate global Carbon budgets, and monitor the implementation of local, national and global, Carbon budgets. However this needs to be put into context. Firstly, as complex as a global Carbon audit/budget might seem they are unlikely to be as complicated as many bureaucratic regulations currently governing the production, distribution, and exchange of many everday commodities e.g. "The Lords’s Prayer contains 56 words and the Ten commandments 297. A United States directive on cabbages takes 15,629 words. The US tax code is 4,000 pages long. Secondly, the introduction of a global Carbon budget might also lead to the abolition of a number of bureaucracies e.g. those currently managing the outpouring of capitalist shit, "The Dutch government requires farmers to keep detailed manure accounts, recording how much waste their animals generate and how they dispose of it. The country has built a network of manure banks for storing excess waste." Finally, a global Carbon audit/budget is need to create a sustainable planet. It would apply to all human activities until the structures of a sustainable planet had been created. Once these structures were in place, however, human activities would no longer need to be measured in this way because humans would be living off the renewable and sustainable resources obtained from a regional Forest. The regional Forests themselves would be the embodiment of renewability and sustainability so it wouldn’t matter what humans did with these resources.
2.4.7: The Carbon Countdown.
There is one further capability of a global Carbon audit/budget which will be of interest to people with a realistic understanding of humans and human societies and who are also cynical about greens’ capability for understanding anything about the Planet they live on. A global Carbon audit is not merely a means for ensuring geophysiological justice between nations (and between humans and other species) and creating a sustainable Planet. It is also an accurate means of measuring the human race’s proximity to ecocide. Factory pharm humans are trying to create a global factory pharm society but all they are doing is suffocating a dynamic, living, breathing Planet with concrete, crap and crops, and creating more and more deserts and more and more toxic Algae. The Earth’s fabulous biodiversity is increasingly being replaced by increasingly inane varieties of biped livestock. A Planet inhabited solely by humans is utterly revolting. A Carbon spiral analysis is a means for counting down the disappearance of this vile, seething, greedy, ignorant, arrogant, socio-pathic, murderous dross. There has never been any species as barbaric as humans on this planet. 2.5: The Geophysiological Advantages of a Global Carbon Audit.A global Carbon budget takes Reforestation into account when considering policies to combat global burning. The geophysiological advantage of Reforestation is providing humans with the resources they need to survive, sustainably, in perpetuity, "Tree planting may lack the glory and grandeur of a huge hydropower dam (sic) but its unmatched potential for stabilizing simultaneously the Carbon cycle, land and water resources, rural energy supplies and people’s livelihoods makes it a top priority for economic and social development." But Reforestation is also important because it helps, virtually automatically, to solve a number of geophysiological problems. Given that many geophysiological phenomena are dependent upon Forests, then Reforestation should help to ensure the viability of these phenomena. For example, if the Earth has a good level of Forest cover then the water cycle is likely to function satisfactorily. If humans look after Forests then Forests will protect the rest of the Earth’s life support system. It is not possible for humans to care about and protect the Earth’s entire ecological complexity. What they should do is protect the Forests and then let Forests continue their work as the linchpin in the Earth’s life support system to restore damaged ecological habitats.
It has been argued that many environmental analyses are far too complex to serve as environmental measures. For example, how would it be impossible to measure all of the Earth’s environmental services? If greens tried to measure, evaluate, and price, every single environmental service they would soon end up in a lunatic asylum. However, given that most of these services are dependent, in one way or another, upon Forests then as long as there is sufficient global Forest cover then there is far less need to worry about the functioning and survival of these services. The main reason why so many commentators are insisting on measuring environmental services is because these services are disappearing and some rationale needs to be found for preserving them. But once there is widescale Forest cover around the Earth, most environmental services will function satisfactorily and there will be no need to measure them.
It might be argued that a global Carbon audit/budget would also be much too complex to be used as an environmental measure. If this turns out to be the case, the Carbon budget could be dumbed down by focusing on the scale of Forest cover. Given the central role of Forests in the Earth’s life support system this could act as rough guide to the vitality of the Earth’s life support system. 2.6: The Scientific Limitations of a Global Carbon Audit.The issue is not whether a Carbon spiral analysis is a perfect measuring device but whether it is better or worse than its rivals. Having looked at the positive benefits of a global Carbon audit this section highlights its two basic defects. 2.6.1: Carbon is only One of many Planetary Spirals.
Carbon is only one of many Planetary processes on Earth and thus cannot measure every single part of the Earth’s life support system.
2.6.2: The Limited Scope of a Carbon Spiral Analysis.
A global Carbon audit/budget could help to formulate a wide range of policies to stabilize the climate. Over the long term, it could determine the concentration of atmospheric Carbon and the scale of the Earth’s Forest cover under various astronomic conditions e.g. during inter-glacial there would need to be less atmospheric Carbon and more Forest cover whilst, to avert the threat of global cooling, there would need to be more atmospheric Carbon and less Forest cover.
Ultimately, however, a Carbon analysis could not determine all the policies needed to create a sustainable Planet. In a world which was a tabla rasa it could determine the best parts of the world for climate Forests to regulate the climate; it could determine which land should be put aside for Wildlife; and which land should be set aside for human habitation. However, such a scientific approach is not feasible in a world of nation states inhabited by six billion people for the simple reason that no country around the Earth wants to be burdened with all the responsibilities for providing the Forest cover needed to regulate the Earth’s climate - especially poor countries in the tropics. The global Carbon budget has to take account of political realities - the most important of which is that each country is going to have to take an equal share (both in terms of their Carbon emissions and Photosynthetic capacity) in looking after the Earth because no country is going to be willing to do more than its fair share. The global Carbon budget can determine the scale of Forest cover needed to stabilize the climate but how much responsibility each country must have for Forest cover is ultimately a political decision - one which must be made as a result of a political agreement between the rich and the poor nations. If countries around the world agree to the adoption of a global Carbon budget on the basis that each country would balance their historical Carbon budgets this would determine the scale of Forest cover in each country but this decision would be a political, not a geophysiological, one. In addition, the rate at which historical Carbon debtor countries would repay their Carbon debts, and the rate at which historical Carbon creditor countries would spend their Carbon credits, are not matters which could be solved scientifically by a Carbon spiral analysis. They are political decisions.
2.6.3: Human Welfare and Resource Depletion.
Like all other environmental accounting systems which have been created over the past few decades to replace gross domestic product, Carbonomics cannot measure human welfare or the rate of non-Photosynthetic resource depletion. It is arguable that it is theoretically impossible to measure human welfare and non-Photosynthetic resource depletion. However, this does not mean Carbonomics is irrelevant to these issues.
As far as human welfare is concerned, a global Carbon audit/budget could play a vital role in determining global ecological justice between all countries around the world. This would result in the abolition of global poverty - perhaps the most important factor in human welfare. There is currently no other criteria for determining global equality between the rich and poor worlds without triggering off disputes about the redistribution of wealth which would cause an avalanche of economic growth and overrun the Earth's geophysiological limitations.
As far as the depletion of natural resources is concerned Carbonomics couldn’t determine the rate at which non-Photosynthetic resources should be used to maximize human welfare. However, by helping to stabilize the climate, a global Carbon audit/budget could ensure that resources were exploited at a rate that did not destabilize the climate and thus the Earth's life support system. This would help to spread resources over more generations.
2.6.4: Conclusions.
Carbonomics is a new form of eco-nomics. It is the only accounting system which can evaluate the impact of social and economic activities on the Earth's life support system. It is the only accounting system which can evaluate geophysiological phenomena. Carbonomics is so comprehensive it can evaluate any human activity and most, but not all, geophysiological phenomena. It provides a common measuring system for both humans and the Earth.
The global Carbon audit/budget is more than a measuring system for the Earth’s life sustaining processes. It can be used to stabilize the climate. If humans stabilize the climate then what, in effect, they have done is protect the Earth’s life support system and, thereby, create a sustainable Planet. Whereas environmentalists/greens have been extremely reluctant to outline the Earth’s life support system let alone indicate the nature of a sustainable Planet, the global Carbon audit leads directly to the stabilization of the climate, the protection of the Earth’s life support system, and the creation of a sustainable Planet. |
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