In-Depth Analysis of the
Golden Globe Director Nominations

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Research Question : Are the Golden Globe Nominations for Best Director good indicators for the upcoming Oscar Nominations for Best Picture, Best Director and Best Screenplay?

Why is it so bad? The Golden Globes always nominate directors who allready received Oscar nominations, while the Director's Branche of the Academy (unlike the other branches) tends to nominate new talent. That could be an explanation.

Year = Oscar nominee ; = Not an Oscar nominee
GG Nominees for Directing Prev. nom : Did this director receive a prior Oscar nomination?
Pic nom : Did this film receive a Best Picture Oscar nomination?
Dir nom : Did this film receive a Best Diector Oscar nomination?
writing nom : Did this film receive a Best Screenplay Oscar nomination?


2004 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
Million Dollar Baby
Clint Eastwood		 Yes
Finding Neverland
Marc Forster		 No
Closer
Mike Nichols		 Yes
Sideways
Alexander Payne		 No
The Aviatorld
Martin Scorsese		 Yes

2003 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
Lost in Translation
Sofia Coppola		 No
Mystic River
Clint Eastwood		 Yes
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
Peter Jackson		 Yes
Cold Mountain
Anthony Minghella		 Yes
Master & Commander: The Far Side of the World
Peter Weir		 Yes

2002 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
The Hours
Stephen Daldry		 Yes
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
Peter Jackson		 Yes
Adaptation
Spike Jonze		 Yes
Chicago
Rob Marshall		 No
About Schmidt
Alexander Payne		 No
Gangs of New York
Martin Scorsese		 Yes

2001 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
Gosford Park
Robert Altman		 Yes
A Beautiful Mind
Ron Howard		 No*
The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring
Peter Jackson		 No
Moulin Rouge
Baz Luhrmann		 No
Mulholland Drive
David Lynch		 Yes
A.I. Artificial Intelligence
Steven Spielberg		 Yes
* Note : Although Howard never received an Oscar nomination for director before, his film Apollo 13 was nominated for Best Picture.

2000 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
Ang Lee		 No*
Erin Brockovich
Steven Soderbergh		 No
Gladiator
Ridley Scott		 Yes
Sunshine
Istvan Szabo		 No**
Traffic
Steven Soderbergh		 No
* Note : Although Lee never received an Oscar nomination for director before, his film Sense and Sensibility was nominated for Best Picture.
** Note : Although Szabo never received an Oscar nomination for director before , his film Mephisto won the Best Foreign Language Film Oscar.

1999 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
American Beauty
Sam Mendes		 No
The Hurricane
Norman Jewison		 Yes
The End of the Affair
Neill Jordan		 Yes
The Insider
Michael Mann		 No
The Talented Mr. Ripley
Anthony Minghella		 Yes

1998 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
The Truman Show
Peter Weir		 Yes
Shakespeare in Love
John Madden		 No
The Horse Whisperer
Robert Redford		 Yes
Elizabeth
Shekar Kapur		 No
Saving Private Ryan
Steven Spielberg		 Yes

1997 Prev.
nom		 Pic
nom		 Dir
nom		 writing
nom
Titanic
James Cameron		 No
L.A. Confidential
Curtis Hanson		 No
The Boxer
Jim Sheridan		 Yes
Amistad
Steven Spielberg		 Yes
As Good As It Gets
James L. Brooks		 Yes



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