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| Chapter 1- Chapter 3 | Chapter 4 - Chapter 6 | Chapter 7- Chapter 8 |

| Chapter 9- Chapter 10 | Chapter 11- Chapter 12 | Evaluation & Grading |

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Grades 11-12

Prerequisite:   Algebra II or Pre Analisys

Text book:  Understandable Statistics By C. H. Brase and C. P. Brase

Publisher:  D.C. Heath and Company 1995.     Academic year  2006-2007

Course Overview:

This course is intended for students who required and introduction to probability and statistics in fields as diverse as engineering, mathematics, psychology, edu­cation, business, economics, biology and medicine. It includes analysis of numerical data, elementary probability theory, permutations and combinations, normal and binomial distributions, sampling and test of statistical hypothesis.

Essencial Learnings:

Chapter 1 .- Introduction to the Course. (5 days).

-Definitions. What is Statistics?

-Its relation to other subjects . Its connection with the probability theory.

-When and Where will we use statistics?. Calculators and Computers in statistics.

Chapter 2.- Organizing Data (10 days).

-            Random Samples.

-            Graphs. Histograms and Frequency Distributions. Stem and Leaf Displays.

-            Exercises. Problems.

Chapter 3.- Averages and Variations (15 days).

-            Mode, Median and Mean.

-            Measures of Variation: Mean and Standard Deviation. Grouped data.

-            Percentiles.

Chapter 4.- Elementary Probability Theory (25 days).

-            What is Probability?

-            Some Probability Rules. Compound Events.-Trees and Counting Techniques.

-            Introduction to Random Variables and Probability Distributions.

Chapter 5.- The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics (15 days).

-            Binomial Experiments. The Binomial Distribution.

-            Additional properties of the the normal distributions.

-            The Geometric and Poisson Probability Distributions.

Chapter 6.- Normal Distributions (15 days).

-            Graphs of Normal Probability distributions.

-            Standard Units and the Standard Normal Distribution.

    Areas Under the  Standard Normal Curve. Areas Under any Normal Curve.

   (END OF FIRST SEMESTER)

Chapter 7.- Introduction to Sampling Distributions (15 days)

-            Sampling Distributions.

-            The Central Limit Theorem.

-            Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution.

Chapter 8.- Statistical Estimation. (15 days)

-            Estimating m  with large samples.

-            Estimating  m with small samples.

-            Estimating p in the Binomial Distribution.

-            Choosing the Sample Size.

-            Estimating  m1- m2   and p1 - p2

Chapter 9.- Hypothesis Testing. (20 days)

-            Introduction to Hypothesis Testing.

-            Tests Involving The Mean (for large samples)

-            The P- Value in Hypothesis Testing.

-            Tests Involving the Mean (for small samples)

-            Tests Involving a Proportion.

-            Tests Involving Paired Differences (dependent samples)

-            Tests involving Paired Differences of two Means or Two Proportions. (independent samples)

 Chapter 10.- Regression and Correlation.(15 days)

-            Introduction to Paired Data and Scatter Diagrams.

-            Linear Regression and Confidence Bounds for Prediction.

-            The Linear Correlation Coefficient.

-            Testing the Correlation Coefficient

. Multiple Regression.

Chapter 11.- CHI- Square: Test of Independence.

- CHI-Square: Goodness of Fit.

-            Testing and Estimating Variances and Standard Deviations.

Chapter 12.- Nonparametric Statistics (15 days).

-            The Sign Test.

-            The Rank-Sum Test.

-            Spearman Rank Correlation.

METHOD OF EVALUATION

  The quarter grades will be determined as follows:

-            A minimun of six tests will be given per quarter.

-            The average of the tests obtained by the student will be 80% of the quarter grade.

-            Homework, quizzes and performance in class will be 20%.

The semester grade will be averaged accordingly:

First quarter              40%

Second quarter         40%

Semester final            20%

 GRADIIND SYSTEM:

100-97=A+ 89-87 =B+ 79-77 =C+ 69-67 =D+ 59 - 0 = F
96-93= A 86-83 =B 76-73 =C 66-63 =D  
92-90=A - 82-80 =B- 72-70 =C- 62-60 =D-­  

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