CHINA IS STILL A SOCIALIST STATE

         In China, state-owned enterprises are the main support of the economy.  Almost 91.9% of large medium size enterprises are owned by government, which means the relative government administrative bureaus appoint the manager of the enterprises and audit the accounting status of the enterprises.  But the government does not control everything in the enterprises, which was the very typical management style 10 years ago.  Mostly, the government mainly focuses on the profitability of the enterprises and the proper holding of the state-owned assets and the value adding.
        Source: NTDB 96; XingDao Daily, May 1997
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        The following is from:  Source: ntdb 96, USDOC, INTERNATIONAL TRADE ADMINISTRATION, COUNTRY COMMERCIAL GUIDES

          Chinese common people have freedom of speech, they can criticize the government policy, they can express their opposition to government leaders, they can speak anything they like as long as they do not try to agitate against the Chinese government....  But almost all the media, like TV, radio and film are under strict restrictions on criticizing the government or specific leaders and almost all the media actually are avoiding these kinds of issues.  In China over 95% media are run by the government....

Banking

          The hierarchical structure yet has little change.  At the top of the system is China's central bank, the people's Bank of China(PBOC), which sets monetary and, together with the State Administration for Exchange Control, foreign exchange policies; and it is the legitimated upper management of all commercial banks.  According to the 1995 Central Bank law, the State Council maintains oversight of PBOC policies.  Below the central bank are the state-owned specialized banks: Bank of China; People's Construction Bank of China; Agricultural Bank of China; Industrial and Commercial Bank of China; and, Bank of Communications.  And three new government banks were established since 1994: the State Development Bank of China, Agricultural Development Bank, and the Export-Import Bank of China.  These banks will take much of the financial responsibility for financing economic and trade development and state-invested projects included in the government's five-year economic plans.  Among these banks, the agricultural bank, the Construction Bank , Bank of China, and the central bank hold 85% of total bank assets.  The Chinese authorities still use mostly direct monetary instruments such as the credit plan--the centerpiece of its system for controlling and allocating credit.  The Chinese government started its finance reform in 1992.  The trend is to decentralize the structure and operation decision making layout.  But this is a considerably slow process, because the banking system is the most important adjusting and controlling aspect in the reform, it is the critical sector in the reforming process.
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      PRIVATE PROPERTY IN CHINA

          Laws in China encourage and protect the establishment and the development of the private enterprises and property.  Things have been changed a lot compared with that over ten years ago, when private property was regarded as the poison of capitalism....  As the pushing of the socialist marketing system, private businesses are enjoying the boost, as the development of the share holder system, more and more organizations are becoming private.  But in many areas, private access is not permitted, like television, broadcasting, main transportation and telecommunications, etc.
         Source: Blue Book, US-China Trade Tie Grow Closer, Zhang Chong Qing, the executive director of the Chinese Enterprises Management Association (CEMA).
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        The following is from 1998-2002 SinoFile® Information Services Ltd.  SinoFile is an independent media monitoring company covering Mainland China.

LABOR MARKETS

 1.  Rural labor market.  In 1998, among the 700m employed laborers in China, 500m are rural laborers, 70% of the total....  China’s rural laborers’ marketization currently reaches 40%.  In other words, it increased an average of 2% during the 20 years of reform and opening up.  Based on this, by the end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan it may reach 45%, and 55% by the end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan.

 2. Urban labor market.  Currently there are 200m urban employees in China, 30% of the total laborers.  Among this 200m, state-owned units’ employees dropped from the 80% of 1978 to 55% currently.  Because reform of state-owned enterprises has not been thorough, employees of state-owned enterprises on the whole are not a marketized labor force, their marketization degree is lower than 30% (this can be seen from the very low mobility rate).  ...marketization of China’s urban labor is 50%.  In other words, this is a 2.5% increase during the 20 years of reform and opening up.  Based on this, it should reach 55% by end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan and 65% by end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan.
     However, since China is still practicing an urban/rural segregation residency-management system, and a cadre status system still exists in China (in which the party manages mid-level cadres, personnel departments manage common cadres, and the labor bureau manages workers), laborers with higher degrees and position are less marketized.  One can say that tens of millions of employees with cadre’s status are basically not marketized. Though they are small in number, their influence is great.  Therefore, the condition for marketizing China’s laborers is still not there....
     Taking into consideration both urban and rural laborers, China’s marketization has risen from almost zero in 1978 to 40%, and is estimated to reach 45% by the end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan and 65% by end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan (the estimate for the next two years is based on the past, and the estimate for the Tenth 5-Year Plan is based on accelerated reform)

 BANKS

 The marketization of China’s banking capital is 45% by end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan, and 60% by end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan....  Among publicly owned banking institutions, over 75% of the employees are employed in state-owned professional banks that are changing towards a market (commercial) nature.  These employees in status are equivalent to government office workers.  They all have corresponding administrative ranks and cadre status.  The majority of these employees are about 25% marketized and in the primary stage of transition.  The Communications Bank, Everbright Bank, CITIC Bank, and corporate financial companies as well as rural credit unions are organized according to market principles; their employees occupy about 25% of the total number of banking staff.  Because the reform of the state-owned system is not thorough, and because of historical reasons, even these employees have not accomplished the transition to the market system.
 Their degree of marketization is around 50%....  Looking at the banking industry as a whole, the degree of marketization of banking staff and institutions is around 35%. This can also be seen from people’s evaluation of banking services.
 In terms of the market share of capital, though professional or administrative banks have dropped from holding 80% of the funds to 70%, loans truly operated according to market principles are estimated to be only half.  Looking at the structure of banks, the structure of funds, and the structure of interest rates in China, one can say that the marketization degree of China’s capital market is around 40%, i.e., in the middle of transition.  Based on this degree of marketization, by end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan it may reach 45%, and 60% by end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan, and enter the late transition period.

PRODUCTION

         ... if we take into consideration the interference of governments in farmers’ production, for instance, the control of cotton operations, then China’s agricultural production is less than 50% marketized.  Various levels of governments are still very powerful in interfering with the production of industrial products; for instance, over half of energy production is still monopolized by the state.  Railroad, telecom, cigarettes, salt, water works, power, pharmaceuticals, books, automobiles, aircraft, shipbuilding, pipeline transmission, and aviation are still basically monopolized by the state.
         ... Public utility departments are basically operating according to non-market principles; state-owned enterprises still have administrative ranks; enterprises are involved in too many non-productive activities and use a fair part of energy and funds on welfare and other activities that should be handled by the government.  Among product sales revenue, state-owned enterprises still own over 45%.  Therefore, the marketization degree of China's non-agricultural production can’t be higher than 60%, and transition is still not accomplished.  Taking into consideration agricultural production as well as the production in secondary and tertiary industries, the marketization degree of China’s production is about 55%, belonging to the late transition period.  According to this, by the end of the Ninth 5-Year Plan it can reach 60%, and 76% by end of the Tenth 5-Year Plan.  At this point a relatively mature market economy can begin.

CONTROLS

         The government is still determining prices or has control of prices of major commodities and labor, for instance the purchase price of grain and cotton, railway and aviation transportation prices, crude oil prices, refined oil prices, the gold price, prices of pharmaceuticals, prices of books, prices of various public utilities, and tuition.  These prices have a great effect on other prices.  It is estimated that the marketization degree of these major commodity prices is around 45%; these prices react slowly to market changes.
         China’s urban land is monopolized by the state.  Distribution in the real estate market is mainly conducted through administrative means.  State-owned land, which should take the lead in market operation, is only in very small part transferred by open invitation of bids, while the majority is transferred according to agreements.  The majority of public housing has not truly become a commodity; rent is only 2.9% of urban residents’ spending (in normal market-economy countries, whether developed or developing, rent usually occupies one-fourth to one-third of consumption).  The official prices of real estate can be 1 to 10 times that of the market price.  The field of urban real estate is...where the planned economy still dominates.  Urban land is occupied and used at no cost to their holders (excluding illegal transfers); the marketization degree of land is estimated to be only 30%.
         China has not formed a medical market yet.  On the one hand are hospitals run by organizations, on the other hand are hospitals run by governments; the proportion of private hospitals is still very small.  Employees have no right to choose hospitals, and the proportion of medical bills born by employees themselves is decided by administrative rules.  Medical reform is the slowest among all reforms in China, and the public is most dissatisfied with it. On the one hand many employees have no money to go to hospitals, and on the other hand a small number of people seriously squander public medical funds.  Medical institutions in China are still non-profit organizations.  Even though hospitals are surviving mostly on their own incomes, their degree of marketization is not high, far lower than the banking sector.  The national average is estimated at 35%.
         China’s foreign currency prices are still controlled by the government; the exchange rate is monopolized by a government department (the Foreign Currency Management Bureau). Because China’s import-export total has already reached ¥320b, the exchange rate is playing a more and more important role.
         China’s stock market prices are only freed up in terms of public shares and a small number of corporate shares, while the bit part, the state shares, have not entered the market, and there is not a true market price.
         Prices of bonds are also basically not freed up.
 Royalties from intellectual property are not close to their actual value.  Therefore the marketization degree of prices of this type of commodity is estimated around 40%....

ANALYSIS

         The general degree of marketization of China's economy cannot be over 50% when summing up the previous analysis of the marketization degree of labor, capital, production, and prices, and taking into consideration the huge government interference on economic activities in China: management by superior agencies, the management of cash, monopolized trade, and management of personnel and labor, the management of the, militia, the involvement of various social groups, the management of international income and expenditures, the administrative management of industry and commerce, the management of technology supervision, the management of hygiene and quarantine, the management of birth control, the involvement of street committees, the management of urban capacity, the management of traffic, the management of urban planning, and the management of planning.
 

 QUESTION:  What is the marketization degree of economies in developed countries?

 ANSWER:  Since it is publicly recognized that developed countries have mature market economies, their degree of marketization can be confirmed to surpass 80%.  Here we can do a reverse analysis, namely analyze their non-marketized factors.  Currently, the non-marketized sector of economies in developed countries are basically affected by the following two factors:
     (1) state interference in economies in the form of government management of military supplies and strategic resources, state acquisition and protection of certain industries by formulating laws and regulations; state adjustment and control of financial and monetary policies, the freezing of certain prices during special periods, and governments’ effect on the market through state-owned enterprises.  It is estimated that this accounts for a 5% to 15% non-marketized degree of economies in developed countries.
     (2) Effect of the distribution of revenue by non-market means, such as payment transfers.  This is conducted through inheritance taxes, guarantees of the livelihoods of citizens living under the poverty line (issuance of food coupons and housing perks, etc), private donations, development of non-profit organizations, policies for relief for the elderly, sick, and handicapped, free universal education, and so forth.  According to statistics, 20% to 40% of the social security funds in developed countries come from public funds; half of the income of American states come from donations; 28% of American budget expenses are used in insurance and welfare; and 30% to 50% of agricultural enterprises' income in developed countries come from government subsidies.  Therefore, the transferal of payments may account for 10% to 25% of the visible and invisible income of individuals.
        ...the non-marketized degree of economies in developed countries account for 10% to 20%, meaning their marketization degree is 80% to 90%....  China's marketization degree is no more than 50%,...

CONCLUSION

         International scholars in general believe that China is still a country in transition and should not be considered a market economy, but maybe it can be considered a semi-market economy.  Some consider China still a planned economy.  As for domestic scholars, Prof. Chang Xiuze of the State Planning Commission Macro Economy Institute pointed out that there are two extreme judgments on China's degree of marketization: some say it is under 40%, while others say its above 60%, or already approaching a "market economy."  Chang's own judgment is in the middle, namely 50%.  We should point out the following points in Prof. Chang's analysis:
     (1)  China is still in transition from a planned economy to a market economy; this process has by far not concluded, but is still difficult.
     (2) Considering rural China's natural economy, considering the several thousand years of a feudal economy and the 40 years of a planned economy (1952-1992), considering the various welfare benefits of urban employees, considering the special cadre system in China, then it is not appropriate to say China's marketization degree has already surpassed 50%.
     (3) We should allow all kinds of views on this issue, but they must be consistent in their logic.  Some arguments in Prof. Chang's article require further discussion.  For instance, on the one hand Chang believes that marketization of the capital market is only 17.2%, and the land market only 22.5%, but he considers the marketization of products to have already reached 61.71%, and labor 70%.  Obviously, such a contrasting situation is not in keeping with reality.  In addition, Chang believes that the marketization of agricultural products is higher than industrial products, this is not in keeping with the development of productive forces.
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THE POLITICAL SITUATION AND OPPOSITION

         While China signed the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) and the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) in 1998 and1997 respectively, to date it has failed to ratify either of these core instruments, and has committed blatant violations of the rights they contain.  These violations include extensive use of detention, imprisonment of political and religious dissidents, ill-treatment of detainees, deprivation of the rights to freedom of expression, association and assembly, suppression of religious freedom...  Restrictions have reached such alarming proportions since late 1998 that HRIC believes that the Government of China is currently conducting the most ruthless suppression of dissent since the crackdown on the 1989 demonstrations.

DETENTION AND IMPRISONMENT

         The current submission includes a list of documented cases of individuals who have been detained because of the efforts to publicize and organize around their political opinions, their religious beliefs or their promotion of labor rights.

THE CHINA DEMOCRACY PARTY (CDP)

         Since CDP leaders publicly announced the creation of this organization two years ago, scores of CDP members and sympathizers have been detained across the country, usually for applying to register the CDP with the authorities as a legal and independent political party at local or provincial levels.  Prominent CDP leaders whose arrest signalled the launching of the repression in October 1998 are Xu Wenli, Qin Yongmin and Wang Youcai, who were sentenced to 13, 12 and 11 years respectively.  All were convicted of crimes “endangering state security.”
         In August 1999, Liu Xianbin, a CDP activist in Sichuan, was sentenced to 13 years in prison for "conspiracy to endanger state security."  In the same month, CDP members She Wanbao, Zha Jianguo. and Gao Hongming received prison terms of 12, 9 and 8 years, respectively, also for subversion.  In December 1999, Hunan University Professor Tong Shidong received a ten-year sentence, also for trying to set up a CDP section. ...

FALUNGONG

         The Chinese government continues to step up its fight against the Falungong spiritual movement and to prevent protests by practitioners reacting to the ongoing wave against Falungong members.  Tens of thousands of followers are reported to have been detained, while thousands have been administratively sentenced to labor camps.  Some practitioners have been sent to psychiatric hospitals for “education” aimed at ending their belief in Falungong, while many others have been detained for long periods.  Control of the Falungong began in July 1999 when some 70 leaders were detained after the group was banned as an “illegal organization.”  In April 1999, more than 10,000 Falungong members had staged a demonstration in Beijing to demand official recognition.  Some of the sentences meted out to Falungong practitioners are the harshest known to have been handed down to people since the prosecution of 1989 demonstrators: 18 years in the case of Li Chang, an official in the Public Security Ministry, and 16 years in the case of Wang Zhiwen,...; 17 years in the case of 74-year-old Yu Changxin, tried in January 2000.  The government’s resolution did not create any new legal standards to pursue its anti-Falungong campaign, but called for a political campaign reminiscent of the methods of the past using the tools already available in the Criminal Code’s provisions allowing for the prosecution of those who use “secret societies and heretical religious groups” to “disturb social order.”  The NPC Decision was a political order to the country’s entire law enforcement apparatus to give priority to “smashing” the Falungong and other “heretical” organizations.
         The campaign against Falungong is part of a wider effort to restrict freedom of association by ensuring that all “legal” groups are strictly monitored to make sure their activities conform with the leadership’s objectives and concerns and by ruthlessly suppressing any efforts to organize independently, whether around issues of religion, politics, human rights, or protecting workers.

         For more information about the 1998 regulations affecting freedom of association, passed in the same month as China signed the ICCPR, see HRIC’s report: “China: Freedom of Association Regulated Away.”
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         Human Rights Watch has documented increasing human rights violations in China over the past year, fuelled by Beijing's preoccupation with stability in the face of social and economic upheaval.  China launched a massive anti-crime campaign last April, leading to arrests and executions; new restrictions on the Internet have been imposed; efforts to organize independent trade unions have been crushed; and officials have carried out an intense crackdown on Falun Gong and unofficial religious groups of all kinds.
         Source: Human Rights Watch Document
 
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