Date: Sun, 1 Apr 2001 19:05:08 -0400 (EDT)
From: phillies@wpi.edu ("George D. Phillies")
Subject: [lpaz-discuss] Funding Liberty, Another Chapter
To: liberty_1st@excell.net, lpaz-discuss@yahoogroups.com, lpus-misc@dehnbase.org, PALibernet@yahoogroups.com
Reply-To: lpaz-discuss@yahoogroups.com
Newsgroups:  talk.politics.libertarian,alt.politics.libertarian

CHAPTER BROWNE01 THE BROWNE CAMPAIGN'S ANNOUNCED STRATEGIC PLAN

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Summary:

In 1996, Harry Browne was the Libertarian candidate for President. He did poorly even for a Libertarian, finishing fifth. The Browne-Jorgenson ticket received a half a percent of the popular vote, and no electoral votes. In early 1997, Browne nonetheless launched a campaign to secure the 2000 Libertarian presidential nomination. Browne announced his campaign plans, and announced two major requirements to be met if he were to run: (1) By January 2000, expand the National Party from 22,000 to 200,000 members. (2) By January 2000, have $1,000,000 in the bank for a spectacular campaign launch. These were extremely aggressive goals for Libertarians. The following chapters discuss how Browne tried to reach these them.

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Details:

To judge how the Browne campaign spent its money, I begin with the campaign plans. I can't read the minds of the Browne staff. I don't know what they were actually thinking. However, the Browne campaign distributed an extensive series of fund-raising letters. Many of those letters discussed campaign strategy. The letters tried to convince potential donors to support Browne and his strategy. The announced strategy may not have been the true strategy, but it was the strategy in which donors invested.

Harry Browne ran for President in 1996. His campaign was by most measures a failure. He finished fifth, the worst positional outcome by a Libertarian Presidential candidate in several election cycles. Rationales for the failure have been offered. Ross Perot was very strong. Ralph Nader had not been expected to finish so well. Nader ended strongly in California, and ended ahead of Browne in the Presidential vote totals.

In 1996, then-LP National Director Perry Willis wrote of the 1996 election that LP membership had increased by more than 8500 during 1996, and concluded "...why am I making it sound like the members we recruited are so much {\ul more} important that the votes we did (and did not) get? {\bf Because they are.}"

Despite -- or perhaps because of -- his 1996 campaign, Browne and supporters soon made plans for a 2000 run. The Browne campaign laid out its plans in a February 10, 1997 letter reportedly sent to ``maximum donors'' to his 1996 campaign. In that letter, Browne revealed the formation of an exploratory committee, and set forth his campaign objectives:

"It all comes down to one thing: how big the Libertarian Party is. Today the Libertarian Party has about 22,000 members. While that's the largest membership in its history, it is still way too small to make an impact on American politics {\em We need a party at least ten times that size -- 200,000 or more members} \ldots And, too, if I announce my candidacy at the start of 2000, we need to have a large pile of money already in the bank -- ready to start TV advertising and a full-time campaign. That means {\em at least $1 million accumulated in advance} -- but a lot more, if possible.

Browne's announced strategy for the 2000 Libertarian campaign thus had two independent goals:

(1) The Libertarian Party needed to increase its membersip from 22,000 in 1997 to 200,000 by 2000.

(2) By the end of 1999, the Browne campaign needed to stockpile at least $1,000,000 cash on hand as a warchest.

Party members would serve as donors and potential volunteers. The campaign would make a spectacular early launch of Browne 2000 during a quiet phase of the quadrennial campaign news cycle. The ensuing publicity would be used to raise enough new money to keep the Browne campaign in the public eye. Browne cautiously did not say he would not run if his goals were not met.

Browne was now a candidate for the Presidential nomination. Realistically speaking, in 2000 no serious Libertarian could promise "this time, we're going to capture the White House". So what did Browne actually promise that he would do if nominated?

The author listened to Browne's lecture at the pre-nomination New Hampshire State Convention. Browne described possible outcomes of the election, asking listeners to imagine, just imagine, if a Libertarian were to do well. Imagine if a Libertarian Presidential candidate got a million votes. Imagine if a Libertarian got into the Presidential debates. Imagine if... I listened carefully. Browne's words were beautifully crafted. Browne almost never promised anything. He just asked listeners to imagine if wonderful things were happening, with no explanation of how these things would come to pass.

Candidate speeches are not contracts, designed to survive passage through a fine-toothed comb under the watchful eye of a gaggle of attorneys. Afterwards I spoke to New Hampshire Libertarians. Many of them clearly believed that a million votes and a debate appearance against Bush-Gore were specific goals for Browne if he got the nomination. Many of them were firmly convinced that these were good goals, perhaps hard to attain. Many of them were firmly convinced that for several reasons, notably that Browne had run before, Browne was the Libertarian most likely to reach the goals they had just been led to imagine. So they supported Browne.

The Browne strategy called for developing a much larger party and accumulating a warchest for the campaign. How was this strategy to be implemented? On one hand, the Browne campaign needed a campaign committee that would raise and stockpile a million dollars, produce TV ads, and have a campaign apparatus in place and ready to roll in January 2000. On the other hand, the campaign needed a recruiting effort that would get the Libertarian Party the 200,000 members that Browne had demanded. These two goals were totally unrelated.

The next two chapters deal with 200,000 in 2000, the campaign to increase Libertarian Party membership nearly ten-fold in under four years. Later Chapters will deal chronologically with the Browne exploratory committee, how much money it raised, and how the money was spent. We then reach December 1999, the launch of the Browne campaign, and how Browne conducted his quest for the Presidency.

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