This page provides my working notes that introduce Lester Brown,
Plan B 2.0. The diagram below offers my first foray into the use of Mind
Manager Pro 6--I've owned it for only two days so bear with my primitive and
rushed first effort.
Overview of Brown Chapters 1-5
Overall
¶ does not point to apocalypse (the complete
final destruction of the world, as described in the biblical book of
Revelation--final days; hints at catastrophe) but to civilization in
trouble | averts bombastic tone: cool style, not hot, 'matter of
fact.'
¶ Brown as reformist: make changes in institutions per
policy rather than wholesale replacement | avoids ideologically laden
background, which is way anti-globalization advocates shun Brown--appeals to no
extreme | no position on issue of globalization, political economy
¶ grounds analysis in eco-economics, ala oikos,
providing synthesis but recognizes the public goods and environmental
services that generally remain unrecognized
¶ But in final analysis, nature (known though science)
trumps political economy
¶ great effort to present clear, factual case: Presents
effective and credible policy writing and tone.
¶ there is no way that Plan B will be
implemented in time to avert catastrophe on global scale. Damage to rain
forest now exceeds that depicted in our film, Banking on Disaster.
Energy
Beyond Peak Oil
¶ Starts with oil? Appeal to 1st world consumers, fuels
industrial civilization (he defines sustainability as post-industrial) | Does
not start with food! Excellent timing, although his specialty is food
and agriculture.
¶ $50/bbl? You're kidding! Like End of Oil by Paul
Roberts, way low: the forecasters of oil peak are way low! | calm quote
p21!
¶ Both oil and water, liquids, are, in the words of Adam
Smith, "Free gifts of nature." | Titusville, PA, oozed up through the ground |
:: the political economy produces neither oil nor water, but rather decides its
allocation, therefore distribution, therefore poses an ethical
issue
¶ King Hubbert! oil geologist who first articulated
the case of end of (easy) oil
¶ Who are the two leading oil-producing countries? Saudi
Arabia and Russia! NB implicit geopolitics. USA depends on OPEC?
(Syriana) Joke God has played on your generation: much of your fate is
outside your hands and you don't even know it! We do not reliably know quantity
of oil reserves. So, why are oil companies plowing record profits into
buying back their own stock? Production > discoveries, p24. Watch the
battle in the Empty Quarter over oil shale, kergen, etc.: marginal
impact, very costly (eg water), and a ferocious political economy.
¶ (Oil ==> food), a hidden connection especially with
urbanization, food miles p28. NB conclusion p 29 ==> sustainability. And you
control so much in your own kitchen! Shifts ownership here.
¶ So clever: wheat/oil exchange rate, terms of trade turn
adverse, p29. Q p30
¶ Food and energy will compete for land! Q p31!
Brazil, USA ethanol p32 | Germany biodiesel p33. NB Brown as strategic
agronomist pp34-5
¶ Strong conclusion re suburbs | shortage of leadership
p40 | He's wrong! Leaders come from oil industry. NB implicit geopolitics, even
to Iraq---which he doesn't even mention
Wayne Hayes, Ph.D. | Initialized: 1/25/2007 | Last Update:
2/6/2007