It was from Paul Dirac, in Cambridge, that I first heard put seriously the idea that the physical constants might change with time. In today's context, we learnt that it was possible to construct a logical theory of the Universe, in which the constant of gravitation, G, decreased with time. All things held together by the mutual force of gravitation, must then expand with time. However, only a miniscule portion of the force between the atoms of solid or liquid is gravitational, so that in order to obtain an appreciable increase in the radius of the Earth, the electrical constants, responsible for interatomic forces, must also decrease. If nothing is constant, on a geological time scale, it becomes necessary to believe that the number of particles in the Universe is not about 1080 or thereabouts, but is increasing or decreasing with time. I understand that Professor Carey wants continuous creation of fresh matter, Hoyle's concept in a new guise. This implies very fundamental changes in the present theories of the origin of the Universe and of its Hubble expansion.
If the Earth expands with time, like an inflating balloon, the relative positions of all parts remain the same. Other forces must be involved to explain the established motions of the continents and their parts. In addition to sea-floor spreading, there must be continental spreading unless, for some subtle reason, new matter is created only in the liquid interior. It becomes necessary to assume that new matter is always exactly the same material as existing matter, that fresh atoms of silicon and oxygen are created within a crystal of quartz, for instance, retaining the existing geometry.
In some philosophical manner, I am attracted, irrationally I suppose, by concepts such as infinity, in space and time, forward and backward. I do not find continuous creation of matter repugnant, provided that there is an equivalent continuous disappearance. I was hopeful, when I first read of modern theories predicting the instability of the proton, that this might make expansion plausible. However, the calculated, and now also the measured half-life for such decay, greater than 1032 years, is almost infinitely longer than the age of the Universe. In his review of a book by Wesson, dealing with "Gravity, Particles, and Astrophysics" in Nature for 22 January, 1981, Davies comments on the attraction of 'variable G' theories, and says:
It is for this reason that I am behind Sam Carey in his determination to keep alive the concept of an expanding Earth. While the causes and the mechanism of expansion remain obscure, the idea explains everything geologists and geophysicists observe, and all that they theorize, except, perhaps, subduction. So, it is with great pleasure that I open this seminar.
NOTE: Owing to an airline strike Sir Mark was prevented from delivering this speech in person (Ed.)